Result
4:1
31/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
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| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 28', Moretti A. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Lakti E. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, Lakti E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', D'Amore F. ↓, Ascione S. ↑,
- 52', 3 - 0, Mattioli A. ⚽,
- 54', Nanni N. ↓, Minesso M. ↑,
- 59', D'Urso C. ↓, Attys C. ↑,
- 59', Kljajic N. ↓, Okolo D. ↑,
- 63', Bianchi N. ↓, Chiarello R. ↑,
- 63', Mattioli A. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 1, Okolo D. ⚽,
- 71', 4 - 1, Lanzi E. ⚽,
- 72', Lanzi E. 🟨,
- 84', Bernardi E. ↓, Nwachukwu S. J. ↑,
- 84', Castegnaro L. ↓, Damiani M. ↑,
- 90', Lakti E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Pedicillo L. ↓, Bagnoli E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Union ArzignanoChiampo 45.8% | Draw 29.1% | Triestina 25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union ArzignanoChiampo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union ArzignanoChiampo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Triestina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.01 ↓ (2.05) |
3.17 ↓ (3.2) |
3.68 ↑ (3.4) |
8.5% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Triestina (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ArzignanoChiampo won 2.
- In recent matches, ArzignanoChiampo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Triestina is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Triestina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- ArzignanoChiampo might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, ArzignanoChiampo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, ArzignanoChiampo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Union ArzignanoChiampo won against Triestina?
Union ArzignanoChiampo has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Triestina won against Union ArzignanoChiampo?
Triestina has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina were as follows:
21.09.2025
Triestina
-
Union ArzignanoChiampo
2:1
16.08.2025
Union ArzignanoChiampo
-
Triestina
2:1
21.12.2024
Union ArzignanoChiampo
-
Triestina
3:0
24.08.2024
Triestina
-
Union ArzignanoChiampo
3:0
30.03.2024
Union ArzignanoChiampo
-
Triestina
1:2
Latest results of Union ArzignanoChiampo
Latest results of Triestina
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 51:18 | 33 | 72 |
| 2 | Brescia | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 3 | Trento | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 45:31 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Renate | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
| 5 | Lecco | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 35:26 | 9 | 50 |
| 6 | Alcione Milano | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 30:18 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Inter U23 | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 42 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Novara | 30 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Giana Erminio | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | AlbinoLeffe | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 39:41 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ospitaletto | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 34 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 34 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 27:48 | -21 | 32 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 21 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 23:54 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 | Triestina | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation