Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German DFB Pokal Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld
Result
2:1 ET
29/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport 7, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 13

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.152.51
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
2920
Shots on target
117
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
80% (466/583)75% (393/523)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.152.51
xG on target (xGOT)
2.621.89
Total shots
2920
Shots on target
117
Shots off target
109
Blocked Shots
84
Shots inside the Box
2113
Shots outside the Box
87
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
4632
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
62
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
80% (466/583)75% (393/523)
Long passes
51% (46/90)23% (17/75)
Passes in final third
67% (127/190)55% (71/129)
Crosses
28% (14/50)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
2.101.45
Throw-ins
2725
Fouls
1710
Tackles
61% (14/23)83% (10/12)
Duels won
7056
Clearances
2041
Interceptions
1414
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
69
xGOT faced
1.892.62
Goals prevented
0.890.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Querfeld L. , Trimmel C. (A),
  • 27', 1 - 1, Momuluh T. , Corboz M. (A),
  • 29', Schafer A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sarenren Bazee N. 🟨,
  • 60', Ansah I. , Jeong Woo-Yeong ,
  • 61', Schafer A. , Kemlein A. ,
  • 66', Ilic A. 🟨,
  • 67', Ilic A. , Bogdanov D. ,
  • 67', Skarke T. , Burke O. ,
  • 73', Sarenren Bazee N. , Kania J. ,
  • 73', Grodowski J. , Mehlem M. ,
  • 73', Momuluh T. , Young I. ,
  • 76', Trimmel C. , Haberer J. ,
  • 81', Worl M. , Hagmann F. ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 95', Doekhi D. 🟨,
  • 99', Mehlem M. 🟨,
  • 104', Felix J. , Sicker A. ,
  • 106', 2 - 1, Doekhi D. , Bogdanov D. (A),

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
56.9%
Draw
23.4%
Arminia Bielefeld
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 24.1% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 23.7% 21.5%

Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.66
(1.74)
3.95
(3.9)
4.7
(4.3)
6.7%
(6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld?
  • Users Predictions: Union Berlin will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.7%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 2.
    • Union Berlin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Arminia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Union Berlin is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 2.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
    30.10.2024 Arminia Bielefeld - Union Berlin 2:0
    06.01.2024 Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld 2:0
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    2RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    3Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    4GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    5BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    6PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    7HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    8FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    9FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    10Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    11RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    12WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    13HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    14BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    15SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    16BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    17Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    18UlmElversberg0 : 1
    19LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    20RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    21SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    22LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    23LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    24Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1
    25DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    26MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    27NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    28Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4
    29CottbusHannover1 : 0
    30SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    31IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    32SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    2PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    3HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    4WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    5Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    6FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    7AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    8MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    9Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    10Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    11DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    12DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0
    13B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    14St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2
    15CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    16IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1DortmundBayer Leverkusen
    2Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel
    3Union BerlinBayern Munich
    4BochumStuttgart
    5Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern
    6FreiburgDarmstadt
    7B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli
    8RB LeipzigMagdeburg