Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

Union Berlin
54.6%

Draw
24.2%

Arminia Bielefeld
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24.1%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

23.7%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.74)	3.87 ↓ (3.9)	4.4 ↑ (4.3)	7.1% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 2.
Union Berlin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Arminia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Union Berlin is seen as the favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 2.1:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Arminia Bielefeld?

Union Berlin has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Arminia Bielefeld won against Union Berlin?

Arminia Bielefeld has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:

30.10.2024 Arminia Bielefeld - Union Berlin 2:0

06.01.2024 Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld 2:0

Latest results of Union Berlin

24.10.2025 Werder Bremen - Union Berlin 1:0 ✺

17.10.2025 Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 2:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Union Berlin - Hamburger SV 0:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin 3:4 ✺

Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld

25.10.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Elversberg 2:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld 4:3 ✺

05.10.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04 1:2 ✺

28.09.2025 Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld 3:1 ✺

19.09.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Greuther Fürth 1:3 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/32-finals

1	Illertissen	Nurnberg	4 : 3
2	Saarbrucken	Magdeburg	1 : 3
3	Cottbus	Hannover	1 : 0
4	Sandhausen	RB Leipzig	2 : 4
5	FC Gutersloh	Union Berlin	0 : 5
6	Arminia Bielefeld	Werder Bremen	1 : 0
7	Bahlinger	Heidenheim	0 : 5
8	Pirmasens	Hamburger SV	1 : 2
9	Delmenhorst	B. Monchengladbach	2 : 3
10	Meuselwitz	Karlsruher SC	0 : 5
11	Preussen Munster	Hertha Berlin	0 : 1
12	Ulm	Elversberg	0 : 1
13	Lohne	Greuther Furth	0 : 2
14	RSV Eintracht	Kaiserslautern	0 : 7
15	Engers	Eintracht Frankfurt	0 : 5
16	RW Essen	Dortmund	0 : 1
17	Lubeck	Darmstadt	1 : 2
18	Lokomotive Leipzig	Schalke	0 : 1
19	Hallescher	Augsburg	0 : 2
20	BFC Dynamo	Bochum	1 : 3
21	Schweinfurt	Dusseldorf	2 : 4
22	Lotte	Freiburg	0 : 2
23	Viktoria Koln	Paderborn	1 : 3
24	Grossaspach	Bayer Leverkusen	0 : 4
25	SG Dynamo Dresden	Mainz	0 : 1
26	Braunschweig	Stuttgart	4 : 5
27	Hemelingen	Wolfsburg	0 : 9
28	FC 08 Homburg	Holstein Kiel	0 : 2
29	Regensburg	FC Koln	1 : 2
30	Wehen	Bayern Munich	2 : 3
31	Norderstedt	St. Pauli	0 : 1
32	Hansa Rostock	Hoffenheim	0 : 4

1/16-finals

1	Illertissen	Magdeburg
2	Cottbus	RB Leipzig
3	Union Berlin	Arminia Bielefeld
4	Heidenheim	Hamburger SV
5	B. Monchengladbach	Karlsruher SC
6	Hertha Berlin	Elversberg
7	Greuther Furth	Kaiserslautern
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	Dortmund
9	Darmstadt	Schalke
10	Augsburg	Bochum
11	Dusseldorf	Freiburg
12	Paderborn	Bayer Leverkusen
13	Mainz	Stuttgart
14	Wolfsburg	Holstein Kiel
15	FC Koln	Bayern Munich
16	St. Pauli	Hoffenheim