Result
2:1 ET
29/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport 7, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 13 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 2.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (466/583) | 75% (393/523) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 2.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (466/583) | 75% (393/523) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (46/90) | 23% (17/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (127/190) | 55% (71/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (14/50) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 2.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Querfeld L. ⚽, Trimmel C. (A),
- 27', 1 - 1, Momuluh T. ⚽, Corboz M. (A),
- 29', Schafer A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sarenren Bazee N. 🟨,
- 60', Ansah I. ↓, Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑,
- 61', Schafer A. ↓, Kemlein A. ↑,
- 66', Ilic A. 🟨,
- 67', Ilic A. ↓, Bogdanov D. ↑,
- 67', Skarke T. ↓, Burke O. ↑,
- 73', Sarenren Bazee N. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
- 73', Grodowski J. ↓, Mehlem M. ↑,
- 73', Momuluh T. ↓, Young I. ↑,
- 76', Trimmel C. ↓, Haberer J. ↑,
- 81', Worl M. ↓, Hagmann F. ↑,
- Extra Time (1 - 0)
- 95', Doekhi D. 🟨,
- 99', Mehlem M. 🟨,
- 104', Felix J. ↓, Sicker A. ↑,
- 106', 2 - 1, Doekhi D. ⚽, Bogdanov D. (A),
Chances of winning
Union Berlin
56.9% | Draw
23.4% | Arminia Bielefeld
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.74) |
3.95 ↑
(3.9) |
4.7 ↑
(4.3) |
6.7%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Arminia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Arminia (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Union Berlin (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Union Berlin will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 3 - 60%). Arminia (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 2.
- Union Berlin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Arminia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Union Berlin is considered a favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 2.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Arminia Bielefeld?
Union Berlin has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arminia Bielefeld won against Union Berlin?
Arminia Bielefeld has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
30.10.2024
Arminia Bielefeld
-
Union Berlin
2:0
06.01.2024
Union Berlin
-
Arminia Bielefeld
2:0
Latest results of Union Berlin
Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
Draw
2025/261/32-finals| 1 | Engers | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 : 5 |
| 2 | RW Essen | Dortmund | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Viktoria Koln | Paderborn | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Grossaspach | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Delmenhorst | B. Monchengladbach | 2 : 3 |
| 6 | Meuselwitz | Karlsruher SC | 0 : 5 |
| 7 | Norderstedt | St. Pauli | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Hansa Rostock | Hoffenheim | 0 : 4 |
| 9 | FC Gutersloh | Union Berlin | 0 : 5 |
| 10 | Arminia Bielefeld | Werder Bremen | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Regensburg | FC Koln | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Wehen | Bayern Munich | 2 : 3 |
| 13 | Cottbus | Hannover | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Sandhausen | RB Leipzig | 2 : 4 |
| 15 | Illertissen | Nurnberg | 4 : 3 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | Magdeburg | 1 : 3 |
| 17 | Bahlinger | Heidenheim | 0 : 5 |
| 18 | Pirmasens | Hamburger SV | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Hemelingen | Wolfsburg | 0 : 9 |
| 20 | FC 08 Homburg | Holstein Kiel | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Hallescher | Augsburg | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | BFC Dynamo | Bochum | 1 : 3 |
| 23 | SG Dynamo Dresden | Mainz | 0 : 1 |
| 24 | Braunschweig | Stuttgart | 4 : 5 |
| 25 | Preussen Munster | Hertha Berlin | 0 : 1 |
| 26 | Ulm | Elversberg | 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Lohne | Greuther Furth | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | RSV Eintracht | Kaiserslautern | 0 : 7 |
| 29 | Schweinfurt | Dusseldorf | 2 : 4 |
| 30 | Lotte | Freiburg | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Lubeck | Darmstadt | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Lokomotive Leipzig | Schalke | 0 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Dortmund | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Paderborn | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 : 4 |
| 3 | B. Monchengladbach | Karlsruher SC | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | St. Pauli | Hoffenheim | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | Union Berlin | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | FC Koln | Bayern Munich | 1 : 4 |
| 7 | Cottbus | RB Leipzig | 1 : 4 |
| 8 | Illertissen | Magdeburg | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Heidenheim | Hamburger SV | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Wolfsburg | Holstein Kiel | 0 : 1 |
| 11 | Augsburg | Bochum | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Mainz | Stuttgart | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Hertha Berlin | Elversberg | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Greuther Furth | Kaiserslautern | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Dusseldorf | Freiburg | 1 : 3 |
| 16 | Darmstadt | Schalke | 4 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Dortmund | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | B. Monchengladbach | St. Pauli | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Union Berlin | Bayern Munich | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | Magdeburg | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Hamburger SV | Holstein Kiel | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bochum | Stuttgart | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | Kaiserslautern | 6 : 1 |
| 8 | Freiburg | Darmstadt | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | St. Pauli | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | RB Leipzig | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Holstein Kiel | Stuttgart | 0 : 3 |
| 4 | Hertha Berlin | Freiburg | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | Bayern Munich | |
| 2 | Stuttgart | Freiburg | |
Final
