Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
03/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SupeSport ESPN 1
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, L'Equipe, New World TV
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 2, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport News, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW, ZDF
greeceGreeceERT 2, ERT Sports 2
hungaryHungarySport 2
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 5
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
spainSpainGol Play, GolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandTrue Ball Thai 1, True ID, True Sport 2
turkeyTurkeySifir
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.690.74
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
65% (187/289)73% (338/460)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
2.690.74
xG on target (xGOT)
2.131.54
Total shots
187
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2013
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
65% (187/289)73% (338/460)
Long passes
43% (30/70)47% (31/66)
Passes in final third
55% (71/130)60% (64/106)
Crosses
25% (6/24)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.49
Throw-ins
2719
Fouls
1411
Tackles
47% (9/19)64% (14/22)
Duels won
4465
Clearances
2327
Interceptions
236
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
1.542.13
Goals prevented
0.540.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Ansah I. (Own goal),
  • 24', 0 - 2, Kane H. , Kimmich J. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 2, Querfeld L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+4', 1 - 3, Leite D. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Pavlovic A. , Goretzka L. ,
  • 54', Kane H. 🟨,
  • 55', Kompany V. 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 3, Querfeld L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 73', Karl L. , Gnabry S. ,
  • 80', Ansah I. 🟨,
  • 81', Upamecano D. 🟨,
  • 83', Schafer A. , Burcu L. ,
  • 83', Jeong Woo-Yeong , Skarke T. ,
  • 86', Laimer K. , Ito H. ,
  • 86', Olise M. , Kim Min-Jae ,
  • 87', Kemlein A. 🟨,
  • 88', Rothe T. , Nsoki S. ,
  • 90+1', Neuer M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Burcu L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
11.4%
Draw
17.2%
Bayern Munich
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.5% 15.2% 74.3%

Union Berlin - Bayern Munich Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
8.46
(9.07)
5.52
(6.26)
1.33
(1.28)
5.2%
(4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 24 - 92.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 82.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 0.
    • Union Berlin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bayern is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Union Berlin has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Bayern is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Bogdanov D. (Injury) Markgraf A. (Leg Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:31. (average 0.8:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 1.1:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 2:2
    15.03.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 1:1
    02.11.2024 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 3:0
    20.04.2024 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 1:5
    24.01.2024 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 1:0
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    2Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    3RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    4WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    5CottbusHannover1 : 0
    6SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    7IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    8SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    9Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    10UlmElversberg0 : 1
    11LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    12RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    13SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    14LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    15LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    16Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1
    17BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    18PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    19HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    20FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    21HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    22BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    23SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    24BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    25EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    26RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    27Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    28GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    29DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    30MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    31NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    32Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    2FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    3CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    4IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3
    5Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    6Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    7DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    8DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0
    9HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    10WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    11AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    12MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    13Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    14PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    15B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    16St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Union BerlinBayern Munich2 : 3
    2RB LeipzigMagdeburg3 : 1
    3Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern6 : 1
    4FreiburgDarmstadt2 : 0
    5Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel1 : 2
    6BochumStuttgart0 : 2
    7DortmundBayer Leverkusen0 : 1
    8B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bayern MunichRB Leipzig
    2Hertha BerlinFreiburg
    3Holstein KielStuttgart
    4Bayer LeverkusenSt. Pauli