Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/03/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin).

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 26
Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 5
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Sportklub 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
North-central-america	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	Sportklub 5
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 4
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 5
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-america	ESPN 5 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, PPTV Sports
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	1.50
Ball Possession
20%	80%
Goal Attempts
7	18
Shots on Goal
2	4
Shots off Goal
5	7
Blocked Shots
0	7
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
2	14
Shots inside the Box
4	6
Shots outside the Box
3	12
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
Free Kicks
8	13
Offsides
1	1
Fouls
13	8
Yellow Cards
1	2
Throw-ins
9	18
Touches in the Opposition Box
14	33
Passes
59% (103/175)	90% (662/738)
Passes in the final third
56% (28/50)	85% (291/344)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	5% (2/37)
Tackles
60% (9/15)	58% (7/12)
Clearances Total
75	21
Interceptions
12	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Musiala J. 🟨,
58', Juranovic J. 🟨,
61', Ilic A. ↓, Ljubicic M. ↑,
62', Haberer J. ↓, Hollerbach B. ↑,
65', Gnabry S. ↓, Sane L. ↑,
72', Trimmel C. ↓, Rothe T. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Sane L. ⚽, Stanisic J. (A),
80', Kimmich J. 🟨,
81', Schafer A. ↓, Benes L. ↑,
81', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
82', Olise M. ↓, Ito H. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Hollerbach B. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Union Berlin
10.6%

Draw
17.5%

Bayern Munich
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

19%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.1%

18%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Union Berlin - Bayern Munich Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.02 ↑ (8.21)	5.53 ↑ (5.06)	1.34 ↓ (1.38)	3.9% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Bayern Munich?

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Bayern will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 64.6% – 94%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 0.
Recent matches Union Berlin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bayern is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Bayern could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Bayern is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Union Berlin: Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Ogbemudia O. (Foot Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury) Vogt K. (Lacking Match Fitness)
There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Kim Min-Jae (Achilles Tendon Injury) Neuer M. (Calf Injury) Palhinha J. (Red Card) Pavlovic A. (Illness)
There are questionable in Bayern: Coman K. (Injury)
Last 11 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7:28 (average 0.6:2.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:14 (average 1:2.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Bayern Munich?

Union Berlin has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Union Berlin?

Bayern Munich has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Bayern Munich were as follows:

02.11.2024 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 3:0

20.04.2024 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 1:5

24.01.2024 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 1:0

26.02.2023 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 3:0

03.09.2022 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 1:1

Latest results of Union Berlin

09.03.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin 1:2 ✺

02.03.2025 Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin 6:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:2 ✺

08.02.2025 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Bayern Munich

11.03.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Bayern Munich - Bochum 2:3 ✺

05.03.2025 Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen 3:0 ✺

28.02.2025 Stuttgart - Bayern Munich 1:3 ✺

23.02.2025 Bayern Munich - Eintracht Frankfurt 4:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Wolfsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	B. Monchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Koln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Mainz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Pauli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Heidenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga