Union Berlin vs Heidenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
1:2
29/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 12
  • Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.62
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
73% (240/328)77% (347/452)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.171.26
Total shots
910
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2218
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
73% (240/328)77% (347/452)
Long passes
32% (19/59)49% (38/77)
Passes in final third
56% (54/97)49% (57/117)
Crosses
24% (5/21)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.90
Throw-ins
1729
Fouls
1310
Tackles
50% (3/6)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4067
Clearances
2830
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
1.261.17
Goals prevented
-0.740.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Burke O. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Khedira R. ⚽, Ansah I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Gimber B. 🟨,
  • 57', Dorsch N. ↓, Ibrahimovic A. ↑,
  • 57', Gimber B. ↓, Schoppner J. ↑,
  • 57', Beck A. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
  • 61', Burke O. ↓, Ilic A. ↑,
  • 66', Schimmer S. 🟨,
  • 72', Kemlein A. 🟨,
  • 73', Kohn D. ↓, Rothe T. ↑,
  • 73', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Kral A. ↑,
  • 75', Khedira R. 🟨,
  • 76', Honsak M. ↓, Wagner Y. ↑,
  • 76', Busch M. ↓, Traore O. H. ↑,
  • 79', Kemlein A. ↓, Schafer A. ↑,
  • 79', Trimmel C. ↓, Haberer J. ↑,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Schimmer S. ⚽, Traore O. H. (A),
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, Schoppner J. ⚽, Ibrahimovic A. (A),

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
59.1%		Draw
24.6%		Heidenheim
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 24.8% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 24.4% 20.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
    •

    Union Berlin - Heidenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.63 ↓
    (1.76)    		 3.92 ↑
    (3.84)    		 5.83 ↑
    (4.5)    		 3.9%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Heidenheim?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Heidenheim (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Heidenheim (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Union Berlin (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Union Berlin (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Union Berlin (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Union Berlin will win (32 of 36 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.62% – 99.16%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Union Berlin will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 19 - 82.6%). Heidenheim (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 1.
    • Union Berlin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Heidenheim has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Union Berlin is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Markgraf A. (Leg Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Knee Injury) Feller F. (Knee Injury) Kaufmann M. (Groin Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Zivzivadze B. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Heidenheim were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 0:3
    11.01.2025 Heidenheim - Union Berlin 2:0
    24.02.2024 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 2:2
    30.09.2023 Heidenheim - Union Berlin 1:0
    19.10.2022 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 2:0
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    23.11.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 0:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 2:2 ✺
    01.11.2025 Union Berlin - Freiburg 0:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld 2:1 ✺
    24.10.2025 Werder Bremen - Union Berlin 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    22.11.2025 Heidenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:3 ✺
    08.11.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim 6:0 ✺
    01.11.2025 Heidenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 ✺
    28.10.2025 Heidenheim - Hamburger SV 0:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 Hoffenheim - Heidenheim 3:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich23193185:216460
    2Dortmund23157149:222752
    3Hoffenheim23144549:301946
    4Stuttgart23134644:321243
    5RB Leipzig23125644:321241
    6Bayer Leverkusen22123743:281539
    7Freiburg2396834:37-333
    8Eintracht Frankfurt2387846:49-331
    9Union Berlin2377929:37-828
    10Augsburg23841128:41-1328
    11Hamburger SV2268825:32-726
    12FC Koln23661133:39-624
    13Mainz23571126:38-1222
    14B. Monchengladbach23571126:39-1322
    15Wolfsburg23551333:49-1620
    16St. Pauli23551322:40-1820
    17Werder Bremen23471223:44-2119
    18Heidenheim23351522:51-2914

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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