RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga Women - Round 20
  • Referee: Boike J. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.400.62
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
68
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
33
Passes
75% (327/437)72% (262/364)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.400.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.841.78
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
51
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
66
Shots outside the box
75
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1612
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
158
Passes
75% (327/437)72% (262/364)
Long passes
40% (22/55)46% (41/90)
Passes in final third
57% (67/118)56% (59/106)
Crosses
27% (3/11)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.65
Throw ins
3136
Fouls
815
Tackles
85% (11/13)93% (13/14)
Duels won
3534
Clearances
1422
Interceptions
158
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
64
xGOT faced
1.780.84
Goals prevented
-0.22-1.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Weidauer S. ,
  • 18', 1 - 1, Baum L. , Starke S. (A),
  • 44', 2 - 1, Schimmer M. , Landenberger J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 2 - 2, Steuerwald S. , Orschmann D. (A),
  • 61', Heiseler L. , Hipp J. ,
  • 61', Orschmann D. , Campbell E. ,
  • 68', Schimmer M. 🟨,
  • 75', Asgeirsdottir E. , Krug V. ,
  • 77', Weiss A. , Heikkinen I. ,
  • 77', Eurlings H. , Reissner N. ,
  • 88', Weidauer S. , Halverkamps A. ,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
40%
Draw
24.2%
Union Berlin
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 24.9% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 24% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RB Leipzig's form might have worsened.
  • Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Union Berlin's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RB Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Union Berlin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • RB Leipzig - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.03)
    3.81
    (3.73)
    2.57
    (3.16)
    8.5%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • RB Leipzig might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Union Berlin were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 5:0
    08.09.2024 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 1:0
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    German Bundesliga Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich W ✔ 23221086:87867
    2Wolfsburg W24164465:353052
    3Eintracht Frankfurt W23143657:381945
    4Hoffenheim W23132845:291641
    5Bayer Leverkusen W23131938:32640
    6Werder Bremen W24107732:35-337
    7Koln W24941131:36-531
    8Freiburg W23931136:40-430
    9Union Berlin W24861040:45-530
    10RB Leipzig W24761138:45-727
    111.FC Nurnberg W23541428:54-2619
    12Hamburger SV W24461425:54-2918
    13SGS Essen W23361421:55-3415
    14Jena W23251621:57-3611

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich W is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League Women (League phase )