Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
3:1
06/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 13
  • Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStartimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Focus, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, Startimes World Football
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.812.14
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
421
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
011
Passes
74% (279/378)80% (367/461)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.812.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.762.58
Total shots
421
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
012
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
317
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
011
Touches in opposition box
844
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
74% (279/378)80% (367/461)
Long passes
36% (24/67)47% (35/74)
Passes in final third
49% (36/73)70% (120/172)
Crosses
0% (0/3)30% (13/43)
Expected assists (xA)
0.721.60
Throw-ins
1829
Fouls
1311
Tackles
64% (9/14)46% (6/13)
Duels won
4560
Clearances
5116
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
2.581.76
Goals prevented
2.58-1.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Wimmer P. ⚽, Amoura M. (A),
  • 22', Kumbedi S. 🟨,
  • 30', 2 - 0, Amoura M. ⚽, Kumbedi S. (A),
  • 45+2', Eriksen C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kumbedi S. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
  • 57', Schafer A. ↓, Ilic A. ↑,
  • 57', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Burke O. ↑,
  • 59', 3 - 0, Majer L. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
  • 65', Wimmer P. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
  • 68', 3 - 1, Nsoki S. ⚽,
  • 70', Trimmel C. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
  • 70', Kohn D. ↓, Rothe T. ↑,
  • 73', Amoura M. ↓, Pejcinovic D. ↑,
  • 74', Majer L. 🟨,
  • 78', Nsoki S. ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
  • 79', Burke O. 🟨,
  • 90', Koulierakis K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Querfeld L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+1', Eriksen C. ↓, Vavro D. ↑,
  • 90+2', Majer L. ↓, Hensel P. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ypw44ec7

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
42.3%		Draw
28.4%		Union Berlin
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 27.2% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 28.6% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
    •

    Wolfsburg - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.26 ↑
    (2.2)    		 3.36 ↓
    (3.49)    		 3.28 ↑
    (3.21)    		 4.5%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Union Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 60.7% – 93.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Union Berlin (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Wolfsburg will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Union Berlin (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2.
    • Wolfsburg is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Union Berlin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Union Berlin has had a series of home games.
    • Wolfsburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Daghim A. (Back Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Ankle Injury) Jenz M. (Muscle Injury) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Muller M. (Concussion) Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Bogdanov D. (Injury) Khedira R. (Yellow Cards) Markgraf A. (Leg Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Lindstrom J. (Groin Injury) Vini Souza (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Union Berlin were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:0
    23.11.2024 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 1:0
    10.02.2024 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:0
    16.09.2023 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 2:1
    12.03.2023 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 1:1
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    30.11.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Wolfsburg 1:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen 1:3 ✺
    07.11.2025 Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg 2:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 2:3 ✺
    28.10.2025 Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    03.12.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 2:3 ✺
    29.11.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 1:2 ✺
    23.11.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 0:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 2:2 ✺
    01.11.2025 Union Berlin - Freiburg 0:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich24203188:236563
    2Dortmund24157251:252652
    3Hoffenheim24144649:311846
    4Stuttgart24144648:321646
    5RB Leipzig24135646:331344
    6Bayer Leverkusen23124744:291540
    7Eintracht Frankfurt2497848:49-134
    8Freiburg2496934:39-533
    9Augsburg24941130:41-1131
    10Union Berlin24771029:38-928
    11Hamburger SV2368926:34-826
    12B. Monchengladbach24671127:39-1225
    13FC Koln24661233:41-824
    14Mainz24581127:39-1223
    15St. Pauli24651323:40-1723
    16Werder Bremen24571225:44-1922
    17Wolfsburg24551433:53-2020
    18Heidenheim24351622:53-3114

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          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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