Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Union Berlin - Wolfsburg
Result
1:0
06/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 28
  • Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool, V Sport Ultra
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, K-Vision, RCTI+, Vidio
irelandIrelandNOW
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
japanJapanSukachan 5
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Viaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 3
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3, SportKlub 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.79
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
74% (236/321)78% (301/388)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.23
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2222
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
74% (236/321)78% (301/388)
Long passes
42% (27/64)53% (31/59)
Passes in final third
64% (63/99)60% (75/124)
Crosses
25% (6/24)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.83
Fouls
1314
Tackles
69% (9/13)50% (6/12)
Duels won
5451
Clearances Total
4140
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.230.98
Goals prevented
0.23-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Ilic A. , Ljubicic M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', 1 - 0, Hollerbach B. , Querfeld L. (A),
  • 73', Maehle J. , Tomas T. ,
  • 77', Gerhardt Y. 🟨,
  • 79', Hollerbach B. , Skarke T. ,
  • 79', Trimmel C. , Roussillon J. ,
  • 85', Vranckx A. , Nmecha L. ,
  • 85', Amoura M. , Behrens K. ,
  • 90', Haberer J. , Tousart L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
41.7%
Draw
28.4%
Wolfsburg
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 28.6% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 28.5% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Union Berlin - Wolfsburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.5)
    3.38
    (3.36)
    3.22
    (2.92)
    4%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Wolfsburg?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 51.9%83.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Union Berlin (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Union Berlin will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 2.
    • Recent matches Union Berlin is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Wolfsburg is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Union Berlin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Jeong Woo-Yeong (Ankle Injury) Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Angely M. (Muscle Injury) Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Koulierakis K. (Injury) Majer L. (Ankle Injury) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Heel Injury) Rogerio (Knee Injury) Svanberg M. (Knee Injury) Vavro D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Bornauw S. (Foot Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:18 (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Wolfsburg were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 1:0
    10.02.2024 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:0
    16.09.2023 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 2:1
    12.03.2023 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 1:1
    31.01.2023 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 2:1
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    29.03.2025 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 0:1
    15.03.2025 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 1:0
    08.03.2025 Wolfsburg - St. Pauli 1:1
    01.03.2025 Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg 1:2
    26.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:0
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga