Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin).

Bundesliga - Round 28
Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool, V Sport Ultra
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, RCTI+, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	Sukachan 5
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3, SportKlub 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-america	ESPN 5 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.48	1.79
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
13	12
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
74% (236/321)	78% (301/388)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48	1.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.98	0.23
Total shots
13	12
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
7	10
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
22	22
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
14	13
Passes
74% (236/321)	78% (301/388)
Long passes
42% (27/64)	53% (31/59)
Passes in final third
64% (63/99)	60% (75/124)
Crosses
25% (6/24)	12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.72	0.83
Fouls
13	14
Tackles
69% (9/13)	50% (6/12)
Duels won
54	51
Clearances Total
41	40
Interceptions
9	4
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.23	0.98
Goals prevented
0.23	-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Ilic A. ↓, Ljubicic M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 1 - 0, Hollerbach B. ⚽, Querfeld L. (A),
73', Maehle J. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
77', Gerhardt Y. 🟨,
79', Hollerbach B. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
79', Trimmel C. ↓, Roussillon J. ↑,
85', Vranckx A. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
85', Amoura M. ↓, Behrens K. ↑,
90', Haberer J. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Union Berlin
41.7%

Draw
28.4%

Wolfsburg
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.6%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.5%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Union Berlin - Wolfsburg Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.5)	3.38 ↑ (3.36)	3.22 ↑ (2.92)	4% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Wolfsburg?

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 51.9% – 83.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.25 - Union Berlin (votes: 3 - 100%).

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Union Berlin will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 2.
Recent matches Union Berlin is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Wolfsburg is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Union Berlin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Union Berlin: Jeong Woo-Yeong (Ankle Injury) Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Wolfsburg: Angely M. (Muscle Injury) Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Koulierakis K. (Injury) Majer L. (Ankle Injury) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Heel Injury) Rogerio (Knee Injury) Svanberg M. (Knee Injury) Vavro D. (Injury)
There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Bornauw S. (Foot Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:18 (average 1.1:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.6:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Wolfsburg?

Union Berlin has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against Union Berlin?

Wolfsburg has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Wolfsburg were as follows:

23.11.2024 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 1:0

10.02.2024 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:0

16.09.2023 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 2:1

12.03.2023 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 1:1

31.01.2023 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 2:1

Latest results of Union Berlin

30.03.2025 Freiburg - Union Berlin 1:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 1:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin 1:2 ✺

02.03.2025 Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin 6:0 ✺

Latest results of Wolfsburg

29.03.2025 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 0:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Wolfsburg - St. Pauli 1:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg 1:2 ✺

26.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	6:0	6	3
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
3	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
4	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
5	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
6	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
7	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
8	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	3:3	0	1
9	St. Pauli	1	0	1	0	3:3	0	1
10	Hamburger SV	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
11	B. Monchengladbach	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
12	Bayer Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
13	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
14	Mainz	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
15	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
16	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
17	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
18	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	0:6	-6	0

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