Result
18/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Union Berlin 43.4% | Draw 26.6% | Wolfsburg 30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Union Berlin - Wolfsburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.19 ↑ (2.16) |
3.62 ↓ (3.67) |
3.17 ↑ (3.15) |
4.7% (5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 2.
- Union Berlin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wolfsburg is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Union Berlin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Wolfsburg?
Union Berlin has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against Union Berlin?
Wolfsburg has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Wolfsburg were as follows:
06.12.2025
Wolfsburg
-
Union Berlin
3:1
06.04.2025
Union Berlin
-
Wolfsburg
1:0
23.11.2024
Wolfsburg
-
Union Berlin
1:0
10.02.2024
Union Berlin
-
Wolfsburg
1:0
16.09.2023
Wolfsburg
-
Union Berlin
2:1
Latest results of Union Berlin
Latest results of Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 105:27 | 78 | 76 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 60:29 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 60:38 | 22 | 56 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 59:39 | 20 | 52 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57:43 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 54:54 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 9 | Mainz | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 36:53 | -17 | 33 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:50 | -17 | 32 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 31 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 43:50 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:52 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 25 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 39:65 | -26 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:64 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )