Result
0:1
24/08/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 6
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', Jimenez O. 🟨,
- 29', 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Arrieta J. ⚽,
- 45+1', Morales G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Dominguez J. 🟨,
- 57', Villanueva C. ↓, Ayala J. ↑,
- 61', Jimenez O. 🟨,
- 67', Pereira G. ↓, Aburto B. ↑,
- 69', Morales G. ↓, Cuero J. ↑,
- 77', Navarro J. ↓, Cortez M. ↑,
- 79', 🟨,
- 79', 🟨,
- 86', Dominguez J. ↓, Tuesta J. ↑,
- 86', Valverde M. ↓, Ulloa J. ↑,
- 86', Hurtado C. ↓, Pinedo D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Comerciantes Belén
39.7% | Draw
28.1% | Unión Comercio
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comerciantes Belén's form might have worsened.Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comerciantes Belén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Comercio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Comerciantes Belén - Unión Comercio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(1.93) |
3.26 ↓
(3.6) |
2.85 ↓
(3.27) |
9.1%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Comerciantes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Unión Comercio is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Comerciantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Comerciantes might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Comerciantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Belén won against Unión Comercio?
Comerciantes Belén has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Comercio won against Comerciantes Belén?
Unión Comercio has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Belén - Unión Comercio were as follows:
20.07.2025
Unión Comercio
-
Comerciantes Belén
2:0
29.06.2025
Comerciantes Belén
-
Unión Comercio
2:1
11.05.2025
Unión Comercio
-
Comerciantes Belén
2:1
Latest results of Comerciantes Belén
Latest results of Unión Comercio
Peruvian Liga 2 Table
Promotion GroupGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Moquegua ✔ | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Cajamarca | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 3 | Cesar Vallejo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Tacna Heroica | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 | Carlos Mannucci | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 8 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union Comercio ✔ | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Comerciantes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | ADA Jaen | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Santos | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 5 | San Marcos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:17 | -13 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Moquegua is Qualified for Liga 2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Union Comercio is Qualified for Liga 2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
