Comerciantes Belén vs Unión Comercio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 Comerciantes Belén - Unión Comercio
Result
0:1
24/08/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 6

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Jimenez O. 🟨,
  • 29', 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Arrieta J. ,
  • 45+1', Morales G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Dominguez J. 🟨,
  • 57', Villanueva C. , Ayala J. ,
  • 61', Jimenez O. 🟨,
  • 67', Pereira G. , Aburto B. ,
  • 69', Morales G. , Cuero J. ,
  • 77', Navarro J. , Cortez M. ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 86', Dominguez J. , Tuesta J. ,
  • 86', Valverde M. , Ulloa J. ,
  • 86', Hurtado C. , Pinedo D. ,

Chances of winning


Comerciantes Belén
39.7%
Draw
28.1%
Unión Comercio
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 25.2% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 25.9% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comerciantes Belén's form might have worsened.
  • Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comerciantes Belén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Comercio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Comerciantes Belén - Unión Comercio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (1.93)
    3.18
    (3.6)
    2.69
    (3.27)
    9.7%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Comerciantes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Unión Comercio is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Comerciantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Comerciantes might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Comerciantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Belén - Unión Comercio were as follows:
    20.07.2025 Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén 2:0
    29.06.2025 Comerciantes Belén - Unión Comercio 2:1
    11.05.2025 Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén 2:1
    Latest results of Comerciantes Belén
    Latest results of Unión Comercio
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1FC CajamarcaBye
    2ComerciantesCesar Vallejo0 : 1
    3Union ComercioBye
    4MoqueguaADA Jaen2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1FC CajamarcaCesar Vallejo
    2Union ComercioMoquegua

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2