Result
2:0
20/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 1
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Marines D. ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 0, Perlaza V. ⚽,
- 39', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Unión Comercio 52.9% | Draw 28.1% | Comerciantes Belén 19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Comercio's performance.Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Comerciantes Belén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Comercio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+12.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comerciantes Belén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↓ (2.22) |
3.32 ↓ (3.4) |
4.91 ↑ (2.81) |
7.2% (10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén?
Users Predictions:
Unión Comercio will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Unión Comercio will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Unión Comercio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Unión Comercio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Unión Comercio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Comercio won against Comerciantes Belén?
Unión Comercio has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Belén won against Unión Comercio?
Comerciantes Belén has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén were as follows:
29.06.2025
Comerciantes Belén
-
Unión Comercio
2:1
11.05.2025
Unión Comercio
-
Comerciantes Belén
2:1
Latest results of Unión Comercio
Latest results of Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2 Table
Promotion GroupGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Tacna Heroica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
2 | Moquegua | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
3 | Cesar Vallejo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
4 | FC Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
5 | Carlos Mannucci | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Comercio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
2 | San Marcos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
3 | ADA Jaen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
4 | Santos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Comerciantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)