Unión Comercio vs Comerciantes Belén – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén
Result
2:0
20/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 1

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Marines D. ,
  • 31', 2 - 0, Perlaza V. ,
  • 39', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Unión Comercio
52.9%
Draw
28.1%
Comerciantes Belén
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 26.7% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 27.6% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Comercio's performance.
  • Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Comerciantes Belén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Comercio that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comerciantes Belén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (2.22)
    3.32
    (3.4)
    4.91
    (2.81)
    7.2%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Unión Comercio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Unión Comercio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Unión Comercio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén were as follows:
    29.06.2025 Comerciantes Belén - Unión Comercio 2:1
    11.05.2025 Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén 2:1
    Latest results of Unión Comercio
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tacna Heroica10102:201
    2Moquegua10102:201
    3Cesar Vallejo10100:001
    4FC Cajamarca10100:001
    5Carlos Mannucci00000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio11002:023
    2San Marcos10100:001
    3ADA Jaen10100:001
    4Santos00000:000
    5Comerciantes10010:2-20

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