Unión Comercio vs Comerciantes Unidos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Unidos
Result
3:2
17/10/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
1916
Shots on Goal
83
Shots off Goal
1113
Free Kicks
157
Corner Kicks
84
Offsides
12
Throw-ins
1819
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Fouls
513
Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Tandazo J. , Torres J. (A),
  • 42', Paico K. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Magallanes P. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Regalado I. , Pinto O. ,
  • 46', Jimenez O. , Marines D. ,
  • 50', 1 - 2, Sen M. , Pinto O. (A),
  • 55', 2 - 2, Javier Navea , Zeta H. (A),
  • 59', Torres J. , Espinoza P. ,
  • 65', 3 - 2, Javier Navea (Pen),
  • 67', Toledo J. , Barrios K. ,
  • 68', Paico K. , Gonzales S. ,
  • 68', Tandazo J. , Rios D. ,
  • 78', Bosmediano J. , Guadalupe Q. ,
  • 80', Zeta H. 🟨,
  • 87', Magallanes P. , Parodi J. ,

Chances of winning


Unión Comercio
45.9%
Draw
28.1%
Comerciantes Unidos
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 28.9% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 28.9% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Comercio's performance.
  • Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Comercio that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Unidos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.35)
    3.34
    (3.26)
    3.55
    (3.06)
    7.3%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Unidos?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Unión Comercio will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Unión Comercio: 17%68.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 3.
    • Unión Comercio has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Comerciantes Unidos is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Unión Comercio will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24:14 (average 2:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Unión Comercio won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17:4 (average 2.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
    04.05.2024 Comerciantes Unidos - Unión Comercio 3:1
    18.09.2022 Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Unidos 4:0
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11003:033
    2Deportivo Garcilaso11003:033
    3Juan Pablo II11003:033
    4U. de Deportes11003:123
    5Cusco11002:023
    6FBC Melgar11002:113
    7Grau11002:113
    8AD Tarma11001:013
    9Alianza Atl10100:001
    10Sport Huancayo10100:001
    11Binacional00000:000
    12Ayacucho10011:2-10
    13Cajamarca10011:2-10
    14Cienciano10010:1-10
    15Comerciantes Unidos10011:3-20
    16Alianza Lima10010:2-20
    17Sport Boys10010:3-30
    18Alianza Huanuco10010:3-30
    19Los Chankas10010:3-30

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