Unión Española vs Deportes La Serena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
02/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Primera - Round 18

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.141.12
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
2510
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
83% (374/452)77% (277/361)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.141.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.400.82
Total shots
2510
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
123
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
166
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
3713
Accurate through passes
22
Offsides
75
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
83% (374/452)77% (277/361)
Long passes
70% (44/63)40% (23/57)
Passes in final third
77% (138/180)57% (43/76)
Crosses
18% (7/39)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
2.400.89
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
1712
Tackles
71% (12/17)47% (8/17)
Duels won
4752
Clearances
1640
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
0.821.40
Goals prevented
0.820.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Alarcon L. 🟨,
  • 16', Zanini A. 🟥,
  • 22', Jara Gonzalez G. A. , Ferreyra N. ,
  • 23', Chamorro F. 🟨,
  • 34', Tamayo B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Contreras K. , Vejar B. ,
  • 46', Espinoza F. , Ovelar F. ,
  • 46', Tamayo B. , Celis M. ,
  • 49', Insaurralde C. 🟨,
  • 66', Insaurralde C. , Huerta R. ,
  • 70', Vargas J. , Fuentes J. ,
  • 70', Henriquez A. , Herrera E. ,
  • 75', 1 - 0, Pereira S. , Aranguiz P. (A),
  • 77', Uribe A. 🟨,
  • 80', Jeraldino I. , Nadruz A. ,
  • 88', Gutierrez C. , Dinamarca F. ,
  • 89', Gallegos S. , Pinto M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Unión Española
41.9%
Draw
27.5%
Deportes La Serena
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 28.7% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 28.3% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • The chances for Deportes La Serena have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Unión Española - Deportes La Serena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.25)
    3.41
    (3.2)
    3.04
    (3)
    7.2%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Unión Española - Deportes La Serena?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Unión Española will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Unión Española (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Española (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 2.
    • Unión Española is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Deportes La Serena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Unión Española could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión Española won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Española - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Deportes La Serena - Unión Española 1:0
    18.01.2025 Deportes La Serena - Unión Española 1:0
    14.09.2022 Unión Española - Deportes La Serena 0:1
    Latest results of Unión Española
    Latest results of Deportes La Serena
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colo Colo1180314:7724
    2Limache1163225:111421
    3Huachipato1161418:14419
    4O'Higgins1161417:16119
    5U. Catolica1152424:17717
    6U. De Chile1145211:6517
    7Nublense1145211:9217
    8Coquimbo1151515:15016
    9Everton1143412:10215
    10La Serena1135313:14-114
    11Palestino1142514:18-414
    12U. De Concepcion114259:19-1014
    13A. Italiano1132615:16-111
    14Cobresal1131717:23-610
    15Union La Calera1131710:21-1110
    16D. Concepcion112278:17-98

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