Palestino vs Unión Española – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Primera - Round 17
  • Referee: Lara J. (Chi)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.95
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
76% (329/435)68% (195/287)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.661.49
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
1816
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
76% (329/435)68% (195/287)
Long passes
47% (39/83)43% (27/63)
Passes in final third
62% (80/129)62% (72/117)
Crosses
4% (1/26)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.471.15
Throw-ins
2518
Fouls
1416
Tackles
52% (11/21)60% (6/10)
Duels won
6752
Clearances
2642
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
1.491.66
Goals prevented
1.490.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Contreras K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Ovelar F. , Insaurralde C. ,
  • 59', Uribe A. , Castellani G. ,
  • 61', Aranguiz P. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 0, Carrasco B. ,
  • 65', Castellani G. 🟨,
  • 67', Marabel J. , Fernandez R. ,
  • 69', Jauregui B. 🟨,
  • 70', Suarez C. 🟨,
  • 71', Jauregui B. 🟥,
  • 77', Abrigo J. , Arias J. ,
  • 77', Castro F. , Leon J. ,
  • 80', Contreras K. , Celis M. ,
  • 80', Aranguiz P. , Carvallo U. B. A. ,
  • 80', Espinoza F. , Norambuena G. ,
  • 86', Carrasco B. , Tapia Paez G. ,
  • 86', Parra P. , Montes Romero F. T. ,
  • 90+1', Zuniga D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Montes Romero F. T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Palestino
52.1%
Draw
25.5%
Unión Española
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 28% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 24.4% 28.7%

Palestino - Unión Española Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.8
(1.99)
3.68
(3.34)
4.2
(3.74)
6.4%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Palestino - Unión Española?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Palestino (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Palestino will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 3.
    • Palestino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Unión Española has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Unión Española may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Palestino is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Palestino won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Unión Española were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Unión Española - Palestino 3:0
    21.02.2025 Unión Española - Palestino 0:3
    01.02.2025 Unión Española - Palestino 1:2
    02.11.2024 Unión Española - Palestino 2:3
    24.05.2024 Palestino - Unión Española 0:1
    Latest results of Palestino
    23.07.2025 Palestino - Bolívar 0:3
    16.07.2025 Bolívar - Palestino 3:0
    21.06.2025 Huachipato - Palestino 2:2
    Latest results of Unión Española
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo ✔ 28225144:143071
    2U. Catolica29167642:251755
    3U. De Chile28163954:292551
    4O'Higgins28148638:32650
    5Palestino29146940:291148
    6Cobresal291451038:33547
    7A. Italiano281441048:42646
    8Colo Colo29128945:341144
    9Huachipato291261141:40142
    10Nublense28791226:39-1330
    11Union La Calera28851527:36-929
    12La Serena29761632:51-1927
    13Everton28681427:42-1526
    14Limache28671534:43-925
    15U. Espanola28631929:50-2121
    16Deportes Iquique28561731:57-2621

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Coquimbo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )