Result
1:0
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 17
- Referee: Lara J. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (329/435) | 68% (195/287) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (329/435) | 68% (195/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (39/83) | 43% (27/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (80/129) | 62% (72/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 4% (1/26) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Contreras K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Ovelar F. ↓, Insaurralde C. ↑,
- 59', Uribe A. ↓, Castellani G. ↑,
- 61', Aranguiz P. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 0, Carrasco B. ⚽,
- 65', Castellani G. 🟨,
- 67', Marabel J. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
- 69', Jauregui B. 🟨,
- 70', Suarez C. 🟨,
- 71', Jauregui B. 🟥,
- 77', Abrigo J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 77', Castro F. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 80', Contreras K. ↓, Celis M. ↑,
- 80', Aranguiz P. ↓, Carvallo U. B. A. ↑,
- 80', Espinoza F. ↓, Norambuena G. ↑,
- 86', Carrasco B. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
- 86', Parra P. ↓, Montes Romero F. T. ↑,
- 90+1', Zuniga D. 🟨,
- 90+5', Montes Romero F. T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palestino
52.1% | Draw
25.5% | Unión Española
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palestino's performance.Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palestino that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Española could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Palestino - Unión Española Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(1.99) |
3.68 ↑
(3.34) |
4.2 ↑
(3.74) |
6.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Palestino - Unión Española?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Palestino (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Palestino will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 3.
- Palestino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Unión Española has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Unión Española may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Palestino is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palestino won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Unión Española?
Palestino has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Española won against Palestino?
Unión Española has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Unión Española were as follows:
06.04.2025
Unión Española
-
Palestino
3:0
21.02.2025
Unión Española
-
Palestino
0:3
01.02.2025
Unión Española
-
Palestino
1:2
02.11.2024
Unión Española
-
Palestino
2:3
24.05.2024
Palestino
-
Unión Española
0:1
Latest results of Palestino
Latest results of Unión Española
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37:12 | 25 | 59 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 38:22 | 16 | 45 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 43:36 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 47:24 | 23 | 42 |
| 6 | Palestino | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 39 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 36:38 | -2 | 31 |
| 10 | Nublense | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 22:28 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | Everton | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24:35 | -11 | 22 |
| 13 | Limache | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 21 |
| 14 | La Serena | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 28:46 | -18 | 20 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 25:52 | -27 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
