Result
0:1
25/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 12
- Referee: Gonzalez F. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (276/364) | 78% (361/460) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (276/364) | 78% (361/460) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (30/64) | 38% (29/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (92/136) | 57% (70/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 27% (8/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Jorquera M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Bacca J. ↓, Orellana D. ↑,
- 58', Yanez F. ↓, Insaurralde C. ↑,
- 58', Marcotti L. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
- 61', De Los Santos E. ↓, Diaz C. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 1, Saez S. ⚽, Insaurralde C. (A),
- 65', Alvarez Wallace A. 🟥,
- 78', Saez S. ↓, Mendez Gonzalez J. E. ↑,
- 79', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
- 83', Jorquera M. ↓, Hoyos E. ↑,
- 90+1', Ferreyra T. ↓, Blazquez M. ↑,
- 90+1', Fuentes C. ↓, Fernandez C. D. N. ↑,
- 90+8', Blazquez M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportes Iquique
37.7% | Draw
29.7% | Unión La Calera
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Iquique, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Deportes Iquique - Unión La Calera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.21) |
3.18 ↓
(3.22) |
2.83 ↓
(3.23) |
6.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes Iquique - Unión La Calera?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Iquique (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Iquique won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Unión La Calera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Deportes Iquique won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Iquique won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Iquique won against Unión La Calera?
Deportes Iquique has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión La Calera won against Deportes Iquique?
Unión La Calera has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Iquique - Unión La Calera were as follows:
03.08.2024
Deportes Iquique
-
Unión La Calera
1:1
03.03.2024
Unión La Calera
-
Deportes Iquique
1:3
Latest results of Deportes Iquique
Latest results of Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 38:12 | 26 | 62 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 32:29 | 3 | 44 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 47:25 | 22 | 42 |
| 6 | Palestino | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:24 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Nublense | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 | La Serena | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Everton | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | Limache | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 28:47 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26:53 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
