Deportivo Pereira vs Unión Magdalena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas (Pereira).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 13
Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.48	1.06
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
10	3
Passes
80% (294/369)	67% (165/246)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48	1.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.35	1.69
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
6	1
Blocked Shots
6	3
Shots inside the Box
8	6
Shots outside the Box
10	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
10	3
Touches in opposition box
25	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
11	19
Passes
80% (294/369)	67% (165/246)
Long passes
56% (29/52)	33% (18/55)
Passes in final third
69% (102/148)	49% (34/69)
Crosses
23% (9/40)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.44	0.31
Throw-ins
26	19
Fouls
19	11
Tackles
57% (4/7)	86% (12/14)
Duels won
32	43
Clearances
13	45
Interceptions
7	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
1.69	1.35
Goals prevented
-0.31	-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Largacha J. ⚽, Quinones Y. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Urrego Hector ⚽,
41', Rios J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kelvin Osorio ↓, Cabrera Y. ↑,
48', Quinones Y. 🟨,
60', Quinones Y. ↓, Estacio A. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Cantillo F. ⚽,
68', Largacha J. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
68', Rios J. ↓, Mejia V. ↑,
77', Iguaran C. ↓, Congo J. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Merheg S. J. ⚽, Velasco E. (A),
82', Cabrera Y. 🟨,
85', Velasco E. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
86', Tello J. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
90', Lerma J. 🟨,
90+3', Lerma J. ↓, Penaloza J. ↑,
90+4', Sarmiento J. ↓, Hinojosa R. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/e34m8afx

Chances of winning

Deportivo Pereira
38.2%

Draw
36.8%

Unión Magdalena
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

28.3%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

27.9%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Pereira's form might have worsened.

Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Magdalena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pereira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Magdalena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Pereira - Unión Magdalena Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (1.74)	3.97 ↑ (3.3)	5.61 ↑ (5.2)	-34% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 2.
Recent performances by Pereira have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Unión Magdalena is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Pereira is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Pereira won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pereira won against Unión Magdalena?

Deportivo Pereira has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Deportivo Pereira?

Unión Magdalena has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pereira - Unión Magdalena were as follows:

12.04.2025 Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pereira 2:2

21.09.2023 Deportivo Pereira - Unión Magdalena 1:2

12.04.2023 Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pereira 0:3

16.10.2022 Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pereira 2:0

Latest results of Deportivo Pereira

21.09.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pereira 1:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Llaneros SA 0:0 ✺

05.09.2025 Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira 1:0 ✺

02.09.2025 Real Cundinamarca - Deportivo Pereira 2:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Unión Magdalena

21.09.2025 Unión Magdalena - Atlético Nacional 1:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Unión Magdalena 2:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Unión Magdalena - Junior Barranquilla 3:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Unión Magdalena 1:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Unión Magdalena - Alianza Valledupar 2:3 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	16	9	4	3	30:19	11	31
2	Bucaramanga	15	9	3	3	26:12	14	30
3	Ind. Medellin	15	9	3	3	33:21	12	30
4	Atl. Nacional	16	7	7	2	27:19	8	28
5	Fortaleza	16	7	7	2	21:16	5	28
6	Llaneros	16	7	4	5	16:14	2	25
7	Deportes Tolima	15	7	2	6	18:14	4	23
8	Santa Fe	15	5	6	4	16:14	2	21
9	Aguilas	16	5	6	5	21:22	-1	21
10	America De Cali	16	5	5	6	16:15	1	20
11	Alianza	16	5	5	6	19:21	-2	20
12	Dep. Cali	16	5	5	6	20:23	-3	20
13	Once Caldas	16	5	4	7	18:23	-5	19
14	Pereira	16	4	6	6	17:19	-2	18
15	U. Magdalena	16	5	3	8	20:26	-6	18
16	Millonarios	15	5	2	8	18:23	-5	17
17	Envigado	16	3	7	6	14:18	-4	16
18	Dep. Pasto	16	2	7	7	19:25	-6	13
19	Chico	16	2	7	7	11:23	-12	13
20	La Equidad	15	2	5	8	9:22	-13	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )