Deportivo Pereira vs Unión Magdalena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
27/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.06
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
80% (294/369)67% (165/246)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.351.69
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
258
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1119
Passes
80% (294/369)67% (165/246)
Long passes
56% (29/52)33% (18/55)
Passes in final third
69% (102/148)49% (34/69)
Crosses
23% (9/40)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.31
Throw-ins
2619
Fouls
1911
Tackles
57% (4/7)86% (12/14)
Duels won
3243
Clearances
1345
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.691.35
Goals prevented
-0.31-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Largacha J. , Quinones Y. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Urrego Hector ,
  • 41', Rios J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kelvin Osorio , Cabrera Y. ,
  • 48', Quinones Y. 🟨,
  • 60', Quinones Y. , Estacio A. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Cantillo F. ,
  • 68', Largacha J. , Torres G. ,
  • 68', Rios J. , Mejia V. ,
  • 77', Iguaran C. , Congo J. ,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Merheg S. J. , Velasco E. (A),
  • 82', Cabrera Y. 🟨,
  • 85', Velasco E. , Albornoz O. ,
  • 86', Tello J. , Mosquera D. ,
  • 90', Lerma J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Lerma J. , Penaloza J. ,
  • 90+4', Sarmiento J. , Hinojosa R. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/e34m8afx

Chances of winning


Deportivo Pereira
38.2%
Draw
36.8%
Unión Magdalena
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 28.3% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 27.9% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Pereira's form might have worsened.
  • Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Magdalena's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+16.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pereira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Magdalena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo Pereira - Unión Magdalena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.36
    (1.74)
    3.97
    (3.3)
    5.61
    (5.2)
    -34%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 2.
    • Recent performances by Pereira have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Unión Magdalena is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Pereira is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pereira won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pereira - Unión Magdalena were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pereira 2:2
    21.09.2023 Deportivo Pereira - Unión Magdalena 1:2
    12.04.2023 Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pereira 0:3
    16.10.2022 Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pereira 2:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Pereira
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional ✔ 15111330:111934
    2Dep. Pasto1584321:17428
    3Deportes Tolima1576224:131127
    4Once Caldas1567226:19725
    5Junior1581621:20125
    6America De Cali1573519:12724
    7Dep. Cali1564517:13422
    8Aguilas1564516:17-122
    9Inter Bogotu00e11557318:20-222
    10Millonarios1563625:17821
    11Llaneros1548316:14220
    12Bucaramanga1547418:14419
    13Santa Fe1547418:19-119
    14Ind. Medellin1445519:19017
    15Fortaleza1537517:23-616
    16Cucuta1636721:27-615
    17Alianza1536610:22-1215
    18Jaguares de Cordoba16421014:28-1414
    19Chico1432911:21-1011
    20Pereira1506914:29-156

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