Result
0:1
07/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (432/506) | 73% (191/260) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (432/506) | 73% (191/260) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (47/74) | 44% (23/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (85/134) | 65% (54/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Martinez I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Holt A. ↓, Kasim P. ↑,
- 46', Carrera J. ↓, Mesias A. ↑,
- 48', Owusu S. 🟨,
- 53', Acoff D. 🟨,
- 62', Garcia C. ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
- 62', Viader D. ↓, Sousa F. ↑,
- 62', Lucca Dourado ↓, Galindrez J. ↑,
- 63', Martinez I. ↓, Knapp B. ↑,
- 76', Ors S. ↓, Jiba R. ↑,
- 76', Gebhard D. ↓, Bartman N. ↑,
- 79', Murphy J. 🟨,
- 85', Sousa F. 🟨,
- 89', 🟨,
- 89', Sousa F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Forward Madison
35.8% | Draw
27.9% | Union Omaha
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forward Madison's performance.Union Omaha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Union Omaha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forward Madison that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union Omaha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Forward Madison - Union Omaha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↓
(2.98) |
3.27 ↑
(3.23) |
2.52 ↑
(2.19) |
9.5%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 2.
- Forward Madison has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Union Omaha's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Forward Madison may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Union Omaha has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against Union Omaha?
Forward Madison has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Union Omaha won against Forward Madison?
Union Omaha has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Forward Madison - Union Omaha were as follows:
03.05.2025
Forward Madison
-
Union Omaha
0:0
29.08.2024
Forward Madison
-
Union Omaha
4:3
03.08.2024
Union Omaha
-
Forward Madison
2:2
20.06.2024
Forward Madison
-
Union Omaha
2:0
14.10.2023
Forward Madison
-
Union Omaha
0:1
Latest results of Forward Madison
Latest results of Union Omaha
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31:19 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Spokane Velocity | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 35 |
| 3 | FC Naples | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 33 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Charlotte Independ | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35:30 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | AV Alta | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Greenville | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Texoma | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 9 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 21 |
| 10 | Tormenta | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 29:38 | -9 | 20 |
| 11 | Forward Madison | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 | Union Omaha | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 18 |
| 13 | Richmond Kickers | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 29:39 | -10 | 16 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )
