Result
2:2
21/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (338/427) | 71% (187/263) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (338/427) | 71% (187/263) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (42/76) | 26% (14/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (64/107) | 57% (43/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.84 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Ors S. ⚽,
- 15', 2 - 0, Ors S. ⚽,
- 21', Schneider M. 🟨,
- 28', Goling M. 🟨,
- 36', 2 - 1, Diene B. (Pen),
- 39', Johnson C. 🟨,
- 41', Ritchie S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Brown J. ↓, Bull ↑,
- 46', Doyle M. ↓, Zarokostas S. ↑,
- 49', Haugli S. 🟨,
- 51', Goling M. ↓, Tekiela K. ↑,
- 60', Kallman B. ↓, Holt A. ↑,
- 60', Bronnik M. ↓, Martinez I. ↑,
- 63', Knapp B. 🟨,
- 67', Acoff D. ↓, Wootton L. ↑,
- 68', Rosamilia N. ↓, Calixtro G. ↑,
- 68', Johnson C. ↓, Caputo A. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Diene B. ⚽,
- 77', Botello Faz P. ↓, Stefano Pinho ↑,
- 77', Kasim P. ↓, Becher R. ↑,
- 79', Wootton L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Union Omaha 56.3% | Draw 25% | One Knoxville 18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Union Omaha's performance.One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and One Knoxville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union Omaha that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that One Knoxville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Union Omaha - One Knoxville Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.73 ↓ (2.1) |
3.89 ↑ (3.3) |
5.19 ↑ (3.08) |
3% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 4.
- Union Omaha is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- One Knoxville has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- One Knoxville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Union Omaha has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Union Omaha is considered a favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Union Omaha won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Union Omaha won against One Knoxville?
Union Omaha has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has One Knoxville won against Union Omaha?
One Knoxville has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Union Omaha - One Knoxville were as follows:
16.08.2025
One Knoxville
-
Union Omaha
1:0
21.09.2024
Union Omaha
-
One Knoxville
1:0
12.04.2024
One Knoxville
-
Union Omaha
0:1
05.08.2023
Union Omaha
-
One Knoxville
3:1
18.07.2023
One Knoxville
-
Union Omaha
1:2
Latest results of Union Omaha
Latest results of One Knoxville
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | One Knoxville | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 57 |
| 2 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 42:30 | 12 | 55 |
| 3 | Spokane Velocity | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 41:35 | 6 | 51 |
| 4 | FC Naples | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 5 | Union Omaha | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 51:39 | 12 | 46 |
| 6 | Tormenta | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 55:47 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 48:38 | 10 | 45 |
| 8 | Charlotte Independ | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 45:50 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | AV Alta | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 42:47 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Forward Madison | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 35 |
| 11 | Greenville | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Texoma | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35:55 | -20 | 30 |
| 13 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 43:53 | -10 | 29 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 43:59 | -16 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )