Santiago Wanderers vs Unión San Felipe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera B Santiago Wanderers - Unión San Felipe
Result
1:3
21/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 17

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
58
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
73
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
88
Corner Kicks
33
Goalkeeper Saves
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Leon A. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Duma J. ,
  • 34', Luna J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 48', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
  • 50', Opazo D. 🟨,
  • 53', Luna J. (Pen),
  • 58', Alvarez V. , Riveros B. ,
  • 58', Leon A. , Herrera H. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Rodriguez P. ,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Riveros B. ,
  • 66', Gonzalez V. 🟨,
  • 68', Munoz C. , Lopes Acevedo M. ,
  • 71', Opazo D. , Valladares J. ,
  • 72', 1 - 3, Vergara S. ,
  • 78', Pereyra J. , Monreal J. ,
  • 90', Vergara S. , Cordova J. ,
  • 90+2', Riveros B. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Espinoza E. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Navarro L. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Gatica J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Espinoza E. 🟥,
  • 90+8', Valladares J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Santiago Wanderers
49.3%
Draw
26.8%
Unión San Felipe
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 24.6% 15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 23.9% 14.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santiago Wanderers's form might have worsened.
  • Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión San Felipe's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santiago Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión San Felipe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Santiago Wanderers - Unión San Felipe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.55)
    3.45
    (3.8)
    3.88
    (6.25)
    7.9%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Santiago Wanderers - Unión San Felipe?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Santiago Wanderers: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Santiago Wanderers will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Santiago Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Santiago Wanderers will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Wanderers won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santiago Wanderers - Unión San Felipe were as follows:
    12.05.2025 Santiago Wanderers - Unión San Felipe 0:1
    02.03.2025 Unión San Felipe - Santiago Wanderers 0:1
    16.02.2025 Unión San Felipe - Santiago Wanderers 1:3
    31.07.2024 Santiago Wanderers - Unión San Felipe 3:0
    17.03.2024 Unión San Felipe - Santiago Wanderers 1:2