Result
0:2
03/10/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | HBO Max |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (307/393) | 68% (137/202) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (307/393) | 68% (137/202) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (44/70) | 44% (23/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (97/146) | 54% (40/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 69% (18/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Gino F. 🟨,
- 21', De La Vega F. 🟨,
- 45', Cabral Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', Fragapane F. ↓, Palavecino N. ↑,
- 58', Palacios J. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 1, Giani J. ⚽, Moya S. (A),
- 72', Fascendini V. 🟨,
- 78', Palavecino A. ↓, Cervera T. ↑,
- 78', De La Vega F. ↓, Guzman N. ↑,
- 79', Martinez M. ↓, Colazo A. ↑,
- 79', Gamba L. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
- 80', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
- 89', Del Blanco M. ↓, Corvalan C. ↑,
- 90', Serrago T. ↓, Guerrico I. ↑,
- 90+1', Roman F. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 90+5', Cervera T. 🟨,
- 90+6', Giani J. ↓, Mottes G. ↑,
- 90+8', 0 - 2, Cerato G. ⚽, Guzman N. (A),
Chances of winning
Unión Santa Fe 60.4% | Draw 25.5% | Aldosivi 14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe's performance.Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.57 ↓ (1.75) |
3.67 ↑ (3.41) |
6.58 ↑ (5.03) |
6.3% (6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Unión (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Unión Santa Fe will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 3.
- Unión has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aldosivi is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Unión is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Unión: Pitton B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Aldosivi: Breitenbruch N.
(Knee Injury)
Chavez L.
(Muscle Injury)
Garcia M.
(Inactive)
Godoy F.
(Foot Injury)
Gonzalez R.
(Red Card)
Kummer T.
(Inactive)
Laquidain S.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Unión won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Santa Fe won against Aldosivi?
Unión Santa Fe has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aldosivi won against Unión Santa Fe?
Aldosivi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi were as follows:
27.03.2025
Aldosivi
-
Unión Santa Fe
2:1
28.08.2022
Unión Santa Fe
-
Aldosivi
0:0
Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
Latest results of Aldosivi
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 19 |
| 5 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Lanus | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Independiente | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)