Unión Santa Fe vs Aldosivi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi
Result
0:2
03/10/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.96
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
78% (307/393)68% (137/202)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.261.99
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
78% (307/393)68% (137/202)
Long passes
63% (44/70)44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
66% (97/146)54% (40/74)
Crosses
24% (4/17)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.42
Throw-ins
3214
Fouls
1216
Tackles
60% (12/20)69% (18/26)
Duels won
6166
Clearances
1644
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.990.26
Goals prevented
-0.010.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Gino F. 🟨,
  • 21', De La Vega F. 🟨,
  • 45', Cabral Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 58', Fragapane F. , Palavecino N. ,
  • 58', Palacios J. , Solari A. ,
  • 63', 0 - 1, Giani J. , Moya S. (A),
  • 72', Fascendini V. 🟨,
  • 78', Palavecino A. , Cervera T. ,
  • 78', De La Vega F. , Guzman N. ,
  • 79', Martinez M. , Colazo A. ,
  • 79', Gamba L. , Diaz D. ,
  • 80', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 89', Del Blanco M. , Corvalan C. ,
  • 90', Serrago T. , Guerrico I. ,
  • 90+1', Roman F. , Garcia M. ,
  • 90+5', Cervera T. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Giani J. , Mottes G. ,
  • 90+8', 0 - 2, Cerato G. , Guzman N. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Unión Santa Fe
60.4%
Draw
25.5%
Aldosivi
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 27.6% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 27.5% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe's performance.
  • Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.75)
    3.67
    (3.41)
    6.58
    (5.03)
    6.3%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Unión (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Unión Santa Fe will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 3.
    • Unión has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Aldosivi is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Unión is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Unión: Pitton B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Aldosivi: Breitenbruch N. (Knee Injury) Chavez L. (Muscle Injury) Garcia M. (Inactive) Godoy F. (Foot Injury) Gonzalez R. (Red Card) Kummer T. (Inactive) Laquidain S. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Unión won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi were as follows:
    27.03.2025 Aldosivi - Unión Santa Fe 2:1
    28.08.2022 Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi 0:0
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    Latest results of Aldosivi
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1145215:10517
    2Defensa y Justicia1144312:10216
    3Barracas Central1044212:10216
    4Tigre1144310:8216
    5Estudiantes L.P1051411:11016
    6Huracan114436:8-216
    7Argentinos Jrs1143412:8415
    8Central Cordoba1136212:9315
    9Boca Juniors1035213:8514
    10Banfield114259:14-514
    11Belgrano1034310:8213
    12Racing Club1032510:12-211
    13Ind. Rivadavia1024410:12-210
    14Newells Old Boys102449:12-310
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1071214:6822
    2Velez Sarsfield1063114:5921
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1053217:9818
    5San Lorenzo114439:8116
    6Rosario Central93609:4515
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    9Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    10Instituto112635:11-612
    11San Martin S.J112548:11-311
    12Talleres Cordoba102445:9-410
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz101548:13-58
    15Independiente90545:9-45

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)