Varese vs Unione Sanremo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
16/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group A - Round 12

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Osuji W. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Cogliati P. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 90', 1 - 2, Osuji W. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Costante M. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Tentoni T. ,
  • 90+5', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Varese
42.8%
Draw
30.2%
Unione Sanremo
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 31.4% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 32.6% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Unione Sanremo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unione Sanremo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unione Sanremo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Varese - Unione Sanremo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.95)
    3.02
    (2.88)
    3.38
    (4.05)
    9.6%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 4.
    • Varese has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Unione Sanremo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Varese is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Varese won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varese - Unione Sanremo were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Unione Sanremo - Varese 0:1
    28.09.2024 Varese - Unione Sanremo 2:0
    28.03.2024 Varese - Unione Sanremo 2:1
    19.11.2023 Unione Sanremo - Varese 1:1
    Latest results of Varese
    09.11.2025 Gozzano - Varese 3:1
    02.11.2025 Varese - Asti 0:2
    26.10.2025 Vado - Varese 3:1
    19.10.2025 Varese - NovaRomentin 1:0
    12.10.2025 Ligorna - Varese 4:0
    Latest results of Unione Sanremo
    Italian Serie D - Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ligorna26185350:212959
    2Vado26184448:183058
    3Sestri Levante26138545:222347
    4Chisola26145732:221047
    5AS Biellese26127733:221143
    6Varese FC26126834:35-142
    7Saluzzo26107942:37537
    8Sanremese2698927:23435
    9Imperia2698929:33-435
    10Valenzana26881023:33-1032
    11Derthona FbC26941329:37-831
    12Gozzano26781128:32-429
    13Cairese26611920:29-929
    14Asti26671322:30-825
    15Celle Varazze26671330:40-1025
    16Lavagnese264111122:34-1223
    17Club Milano26651523:42-1923
    18NovaRomentin26631719:46-2720

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
          Relegation