Result
3:2
16/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Osuji W. ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 1, Cogliati P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 90', 1 - 2, Osuji W. ⚽,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Costante M. ⚽,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Tentoni T. ⚽,
- 90+5', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Varese 42.8% | Draw 30.2% | Unione Sanremo 27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Unione Sanremo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unione Sanremo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unione Sanremo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Varese - Unione Sanremo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↑ (1.95) |
3.02 ↑ (2.88) |
3.38 ↓ (4.05) |
9.6% (10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 4.
- Varese has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Unione Sanremo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Varese is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Varese won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Varese won against Unione Sanremo?
Varese has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unione Sanremo won against Varese?
Unione Sanremo has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varese - Unione Sanremo were as follows:
25.01.2025
Unione Sanremo
-
Varese
0:1
28.09.2024
Varese
-
Unione Sanremo
2:0
28.03.2024
Varese
-
Unione Sanremo
2:1
19.11.2023
Unione Sanremo
-
Varese
1:1
Latest results of Unione Sanremo
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ligorna | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 52:22 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Vado | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 54:19 | 35 | 62 |
| 3 | AS Biellese | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40:23 | 17 | 49 |
| 4 | Sestri Levante | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 22 | 48 |
| 5 | Chisola | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 33:25 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Varese FC | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 37:37 | 0 | 46 |
| 7 | Saluzzo | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 41 |
| 8 | Sanremese | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
| 9 | Imperia | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 35 |
| 10 | Valenzana | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 25:39 | -14 | 35 |
| 11 | Cairese | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
| 12 | Derthona FbC | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 30:40 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 | Gozzano | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Club Milano | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 29 |
| 15 | Celle Varazze | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 28 |
| 16 | Asti | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 23:32 | -9 | 26 |
| 17 | Lavagnese | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 21:52 | -31 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation