United Arab Emirates vs Egypt, FIFA Arab Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/12/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FIFA Arab Cup - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
egyptEgyptMBC Masr 2, MBC Masr
qatarQatarShoof

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.85
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
75% (220/294)82% (365/443)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.021.03
Total shots
76
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1315
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1821
Passes
75% (220/294)82% (365/443)
Long passes
39% (20/51)52% (32/62)
Passes in final third
60% (48/80)66% (85/129)
Crosses
17% (2/12)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.60
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
2118
Tackles
80% (12/15)63% (15/24)
Duels won
5966
Clearances
1830
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.031.02
Goals prevented
0.030.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Luan Pereira , Caio Lucas ,
  • 31', Zouhir A. , Rashid M. ,
  • 42', Issa I. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Al Ghassani Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Saad M. , Gaber M. ,
  • 55', Meloni M. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Caio Lucas ,
  • 63', Al Ghassani Y. , Saleh A. ,
  • 63', Bruno , Suhail H. ,
  • 69', El Solia A. , El Eraki K. ,
  • 69', Elneny M. , Afsha ,
  • 77', El Eraki K. 🟨,
  • 81', Zakaria Y. , Hassan H. ,
  • 84', Nader Y. 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Hamdi M. ,
  • 87', Gimenez N. , Adil S. ,

Chances of winning


United Arab Emirates
35.5%
Draw
30%
Egypt
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 24.3% 50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4% 23.4% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • United Arab Emirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in United Arab Emirates's performance.
  • Egypt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Egypt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for United Arab Emirates than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with United Arab Emirates that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egypt than the current prediction. (+17.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Egypt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • United Arab Emirates - Egypt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (3.6)
    3.09
    (3.76)
    2.68
    (1.82)
    8%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for United Arab Emirates - Egypt?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. UAE will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Egypt will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Egypt (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • UAE is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Egypt has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • UAE may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Egypt is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of United Arab Emirates
    Latest results of Egypt
    02.12.2025 Egypt - Kuwait 1:1
    17.11.2025 Egypt - Cape Verde 1:1
    14.11.2025 Uzbekistan - Egypt 2:0
    12.10.2025 Egypt - Guinea Bissau 1:0
    08.10.2025 Djibouti - Egypt 0:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Palestine (A1)Saudi Arabia (B2)1 : 2
    2Jordan (C1)Iraq (D2)1 : 0
    3Morocco (B1)Syria (A2)1 : 0
    4Algeria (D1)United Arab Emirates (C2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Saudi Arabia (B2)Jordan (C1)0 : 1
    2Morocco (B1)United Arab Emirates (C2)3 : 0

    Final
    1Jordan (C1)Morocco (B1)2 : 3

    3rd place
    2Saudi Arabia (B2)United Arab Emirates (C2)0 : 0