Iraq vs United Arab Emirates, Asian Championship Handball – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
38:36 penalties
27/01/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Asian Championship - 5th-8th places - 7th place

Chances of winning


Iraq
65.5%
Draw
11.2%
United Arab Emirates
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 11.2% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 11% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Iraq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iraq's performance.
  • United Arab Emirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and United Arab Emirates might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iraq than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for United Arab Emirates than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that United Arab Emirates could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Iraq - United Arab Emirates Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.53)
    8.39
    (8.08)
    4.01
    (3.09)
    6.8%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 53.25
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • UAE may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Iraq is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Iraq won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 74:79. (average 24.7:26.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Iraq - United Arab Emirates were as follows:
    22.01.2024 United Arab Emirates - Iraq 28:23
    Latest results of Iraq
    25.01.2026 Iraq - Japan 29:30
    23.01.2026 South Korea - Iraq 35:30
    22.01.2026 Iraq - Kuwait 16:29
    20.01.2026 Iraq - Bahrain 18:34
    18.01.2026 Jordan - Iraq 21:26
    Latest results of United Arab Emirates
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1JapanBahrain25 : 35
    2QatarKuwait27 : 26

    Final
    1BahrainQatar29 : 26

    3rd place
    2JapanKuwait32 : 33