Result
2:1
20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Grivosti M. ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 0, Sudworth A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 72', 2 - 1, Lawson D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
United of Manchester
41.8% | Draw
27.3% | Lancaster City
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
United of Manchester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for United of Manchester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
United of Manchester - Lancaster City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(2.03) |
3.35 ↓
(3.48) |
2.96 ↓
(3.36) |
9.3%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, United of Manchester won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Lancaster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, United of Manchester has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, United of Manchester won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, United of Manchester won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has United of Manchester won against Lancaster City?
United of Manchester has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lancaster City won against United of Manchester?
Lancaster City has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between United of Manchester - Lancaster City were as follows:
12.08.2025
Lancaster City
-
United of Manchester
0:2
08.02.2025
Lancaster City
-
United of Manchester
0:1
12.10.2024
United of Manchester
-
Lancaster City
2:3
27.04.2024
United of Manchester
-
Lancaster City
4:3
11.11.2023
Lancaster City
-
United of Manchester
0:0
Latest results of United of Manchester
Latest results of Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC United | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 | Hebburn Town | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 62:37 | 25 | 64 |
| 3 | Hednesford | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:28 | 21 | 64 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 51:38 | 13 | 57 |
| 5 | Stockton | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 55 |
| 6 | Gainsborough | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 46:34 | 12 | 55 |
| 7 | Lancaster | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Warrington | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 40:54 | -14 | 47 |
| 9 | Bamber Bridge | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 47:40 | 7 | 46 |
| 10 | Ashton Utd | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 45 |
| 11 | Cleethorpes | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 47:39 | 8 | 44 |
| 12 | Guiseley | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 43 |
| 13 | Ilkeston | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 44:48 | -4 | 41 |
| 14 | Leek | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Whitby | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37:45 | -8 | 38 |
| 16 | Rushall | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:52 | -13 | 38 |
| 17 | Prescot | 35 | 7 | 15 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 36 |
| 18 | Morpeth | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:45 | -12 | 36 |
| 19 | Workington | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:49 | -14 | 36 |
| 20 | Hyde | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 48:60 | -12 | 33 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 33:56 | -23 | 32 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
