Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 30
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (442/508) | 79% (258/325) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (442/508) | 79% (258/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (62/87) | 58% (39/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (117/151) | 64% (72/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', Piedra M. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Fajardo J. ⚽, Mejia E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Maccari M. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
- 46', Estupinan L. ↓, Morocho S. ↑,
- 46', Ordonez J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 58', Lara J. ↓, Romo R. ↑,
- 59', Jhon Chancellor ↓, Medina C. ↑,
- 59', Martinez F. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Fajardo J. ⚽, Alonso M. (A),
- 68', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 69', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 76', Fajardo J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
- 80', Mancinelli L. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Moreno K. (A),
- 89', Anangono G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
53% | Draw
26.4% | Deportivo Cuenca
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.86) |
3.49 ↑
(2.82) |
4.55 ↓
(5.25) |
6.8%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca?
Users Predictions:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 3.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Deportivo Cuenca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Uni Católica is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
01.06.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
3:1
18.08.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:2
17.03.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Deportivo Cuenca
3:3
06.10.2023
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:3
06.05.2023
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:0
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 55:23 | 32 | 64 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC ✔ | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | LDU Quito ✔ | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 51 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 58:39 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Orense | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Libertad | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec ✔ | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 42 |
| 9 | Aucas ✔ | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 | Macara ✔ | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | EL Nacional ✔ | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 31 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 26:46 | -20 | 28 |
| 14 | Vinotinto | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Manta ✔ | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 34:53 | -19 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
