Result
3:1
01/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 15
- Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (274/325) | 87% (427/492) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (274/325) | 87% (427/492) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (40/62) | 55% (21/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (60/75) | 67% (68/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | -2.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Arroyo L. ⚽, Venezia A. (A),
- 28', Luna Tobar C. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 1, Luna Tobar C. ⚽, Arroyo L. (A),
- 45+1', 3 - 1, Venezia A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Moreno L. ↓, Clavijo E. ↑,
- 58', Palacios B. ↓, Castillo Saa J. L. ↑,
- 62', Clavijo E. 🟨,
- 64', Lopez A. 🟨,
- 71', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 71', Cacciabue J. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
- 71', Chacon J. ↓, Noboa D. ↑,
- 72', Venezia A. ↓, Piedra M. ↑,
- 76', Anangono G. ↓, Mosquera I. ↑,
- 79', Fajardo J. 🟨,
- 82', Jhon Chancellor 🟨,
- 88', Estupinan L. ↓, Solis Jaramillo M. A. ↑,
- 89', Arroyo L. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Cuenca
33.5% | Draw
29.7% | Universidad Católica del Ecuador
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Deportivo Cuenca - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↓
(3.02) |
3.13 ↑
(3.13) |
2.51 ↑
(2.36) |
7.8%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 1.
- Deportivo Cuenca is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Uni Católica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Deportivo Cuenca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
18.08.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:2
17.03.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Deportivo Cuenca
3:3
06.10.2023
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:3
06.05.2023
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
| 5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
| 7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
