Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador

01/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar (Cuenca).

Liga Pro - Round 15
Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.93	0.70
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
17	11
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
1	1
Passes
84% (274/325)	87% (427/492)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93	0.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.70	0.41
Total shots
17	11
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
9	6
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
7	8
Shots outside the Box
10	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
1	1
Touches in opposition box
19	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
84% (274/325)	87% (427/492)
Long passes
65% (40/62)	55% (21/38)
Passes in final third
80% (60/75)	67% (68/101)
Crosses
22% (2/9)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.59	0.47
Throw-ins
21	24
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
77% (10/13)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
35	28
Clearances
22	10
Interceptions
12	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.41	0.70
Goals prevented
-0.57	-2.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Arroyo L. ⚽, Venezia A. (A),
28', Luna Tobar C. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Luna Tobar C. ⚽, Arroyo L. (A),
45+1', 3 - 1, Venezia A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moreno L. ↓, Clavijo E. ↑,
58', Palacios B. ↓, Castillo Saa J. L. ↑,
62', Clavijo E. 🟨,
64', Lopez A. 🟨,
71', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
71', Cacciabue J. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
71', Chacon J. ↓, Noboa D. ↑,
72', Venezia A. ↓, Piedra M. ↑,
76', Anangono G. ↓, Mosquera I. ↑,
79', Fajardo J. 🟨,
82', Jhon Chancellor 🟨,
88', Estupinan L. ↓, Solis Jaramillo M. A. ↑,
89', Arroyo L. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Deportivo Cuenca
33.5%

Draw
29.7%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

29.7%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

29.7%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Deportivo Cuenca - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.02)	3.13 ↑ (3.13)	2.51 ↑ (2.36)	7.8% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 1.
Deportivo Cuenca is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Uni Católica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Deportivo Cuenca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

Deportivo Cuenca has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Deportivo Cuenca?

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:

18.08.2024 Deportivo Cuenca - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:2

17.03.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca 3:3

06.10.2023 Deportivo Cuenca - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:3

06.05.2023 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca 1:0

Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca

23.05.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Cuenca 0:0 ✺

16.05.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario 2:0 ✺

09.05.2025 Orense - Deportivo Cuenca 1:0 ✺

02.05.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Manta 2:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Vinotinto - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador

28.05.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vitória Salvador 1:0 ✺

24.05.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito 3:1 ✺

18.05.2025 Delfín - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:0 ✺

14.05.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil 2:2 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	27	17	8	2	50:20	30	59
2	Barcelona SC	27	14	5	8	40:32	8	47
3	LDU Quito	27	12	9	6	42:26	16	45
4	Dep. Cuenca	27	12	7	8	32:26	6	43
5	U. Catolica	27	11	9	7	51:35	16	42
6	Libertad	27	11	9	7	40:34	6	42
7	Orense	27	12	6	9	31:31	0	42
8	Aucas	27	11	5	11	36:39	-3	38
9	Emelec	27	10	8	9	26:30	-4	38
10	EL Nacional	27	9	7	11	32:35	-3	34
11	Macara	27	7	10	10	26:28	-2	31
12	Delfin	27	6	11	10	25:40	-15	29
13	Manta	27	5	10	12	31:45	-14	25
14	Tecnico U	27	6	7	14	24:41	-17	25
15	Vinotinto	27	6	6	15	29:38	-9	24
16	Mushuc Runa ✔	27	6	5	16	30:45	-15	23

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )

Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV