Result
3:1
24/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (294/374) | 76% (283/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (294/374) | 76% (283/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/61) | 56% (40/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (55/87) | 60% (66/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | -1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Castillo E. ↓, Cornejo F. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 0, Diaz M. ⚽,
- 55', 1 - 1, Estrada M. ⚽,
- 57', Pastran L. ↓, Alzugaray L. ↑,
- 57', Villamil G. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
- 58', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
- 60', Gruezo C. 🟨,
- 76', 2 - 1, Quintero J. (Own goal),
- 78', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 80', Gruezo C. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Fajardo J. ⚽, Londono A. (A),
- 90+3', Londono A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Londono A. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
- 90+4', Jhon Chancellor 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
40.7% | Draw
28.5% | LDU Quito
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica del Ecuador, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for LDU Quito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.02) |
3.26 ↓
(3.27) |
3.01 ↓
(3.55) |
7.7%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Universidad Católica del Ecuador will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Uni Católica has had a series of away games.
- Uni Católica might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 2:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against LDU Quito?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
LDU Quito has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito were as follows:
24.11.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
LDU Quito
2:4
25.05.2024
LDU Quito
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:1
01.11.2023
LDU Quito
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:0
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Latest results of LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
