Universidad Católica del Ecuador vs LDU Quito – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito).

Liga Pro - Round 14
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	1.64
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
12	19
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	9
Passes
79% (294/374)	76% (283/373)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	1.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.94	0.42
Total shots
12	19
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
5	8
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
6	13
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	9
Touches in opposition box
18	31
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
15	12
Passes
79% (294/374)	76% (283/373)
Long passes
43% (26/61)	56% (40/72)
Passes in final third
63% (55/87)	60% (66/110)
Crosses
44% (4/9)	12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	1.37
Throw-ins
15	19
Fouls
12	15
Tackles
89% (8/9)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
39	40
Clearances
31	12
Interceptions
5	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
0.42	0.94
Goals prevented
-0.58	-1.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Castillo E. ↓, Cornejo F. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Diaz M. ⚽,
55', 1 - 1, Estrada M. ⚽,
57', Pastran L. ↓, Alzugaray L. ↑,
57', Villamil G. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
58', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
60', Gruezo C. 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Quintero J. (Own goal),
78', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
80', Gruezo C. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Fajardo J. ⚽, Londono A. (A),
90+3', Londono A. 🟨,
90+4', Londono A. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
90+4', Jhon Chancellor 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
40.7%

Draw
28.5%

LDU Quito
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

28.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica del Ecuador, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for LDU Quito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.02)	3.26 ↓ (3.27)	3.01 ↓ (3.55)	7.7% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 47.7% – 95.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Universidad Católica del Ecuador will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Uni Católica has had a series of away games.
Uni Católica might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.4:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 2:2.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against LDU Quito?

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

LDU Quito has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito were as follows:

24.11.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito 2:4

25.05.2024 LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:1

01.11.2023 LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:0

Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador

18.05.2025 Delfín - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:0 ✺

14.05.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil 2:2 ✺

07.05.2025 Cerro Largo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:3 ✺

03.05.2025 Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

Latest results of LDU Quito

19.05.2025 LDU Quito - Libertad Loja 1:1 ✺

15.05.2025 Flamengo - LDU Quito 2:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito 0:1 ✺

07.05.2025 Deportivo Táchira - LDU Quito 2:3 ✺

03.05.2025 LDU Quito - El Nacional 2:2 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	21	12	7	2	39:19	20	43
2	Barcelona SC	21	11	5	5	33:25	8	38
3	LDU Quito	21	10	7	4	37:21	16	37
4	Dep. Cuenca	21	10	4	7	26:20	6	34
5	Orense	21	10	4	7	24:24	0	34
6	Libertad	21	9	6	6	31:26	5	33
7	Aucas	21	9	5	7	28:26	2	32
8	U. Catolica	21	7	7	7	34:28	6	28
9	Delfin	21	6	8	7	20:29	-9	26
10	Emelec	21	6	7	8	16:24	-8	25
11	EL Nacional	21	6	6	9	24:30	-6	24
12	Vinotinto	21	6	5	10	26:29	-3	23
13	Manta	21	5	8	8	27:34	-7	23
14	Macara	21	5	7	9	19:21	-2	22
15	Mushuc Runa	21	4	5	12	24:38	-14	17
16	Tecnico U	21	3	7	11	19:33	-14	16

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