Result
2:4
21/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (312/397) | 76% (229/302) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (312/397) | 76% (229/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (25/52) | 39% (22/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (56/101) | 66% (47/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (12/32) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.09 | -1.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', 1 - 0, Pastran L. ⚽, Castillo E. (A),
- 18', Cuero Mercado J. W. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Aimar D. (Own goal),
- 44', 1 - 2, Fajardo J. ⚽, Londono A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 48', Diaz M. 🟨,
- 62', de la Cruz D. I. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
- 62', Diaz M. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
- 64', Canga L. 🟨,
- 65', 2 - 2, Minda K. ⚽, Cuero Mercado J. W. (A),
- 71', 2 - 3, Fajardo J. ⚽, Mejia E. (A),
- 77', Erique Villigua Y. H. ↓, Ramirez Leon B. J. ↑,
- 77', Castillo E. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
- 78', Aimar D. 🟨,
- 83', Diaz M. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 83', Anangono G. ↓, Romero Padilla D. A. ↑,
- 83', Alonso M. ↓, Jhon Chancellor ↑,
- 87', Minda K. 🟨,
- 90+2', Fajardo J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
- 90+2', Mejia E. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 4, Palacios B. ⚽, Londono A. (A),
- 90+8', Londono A. 🟨,
- 90+9', Romo R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
LDU Quito
42.1% | Draw
28% | Universidad Católica del Ecuador
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that LDU Quito's form might have worsened.Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Católica del Ecuador's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+12.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for LDU Quito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Católica del Ecuador, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(1.73) |
3.4 ↓
(3.8) |
3.12 ↓
(4.2) |
5.8%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 4.
- LDU Quito is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Uni Católica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Uni Católica has had a series of home games.
- LDU Quito could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
LDU Quito has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against LDU Quito?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
24.05.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
LDU Quito
3:1
24.11.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
LDU Quito
2:4
25.05.2024
LDU Quito
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:1
01.11.2023
LDU Quito
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:0
Latest results of LDU Quito
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 55:23 | 32 | 63 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC ✔ | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | LDU Quito ✔ | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 45:30 | 15 | 48 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 56:38 | 18 | 46 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 34:27 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 | Orense | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 46 |
| 7 | Libertad | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | Aucas ✔ | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Emelec ✔ | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 | Macara ✔ | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | EL Nacional ✔ | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 30 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 25:43 | -18 | 28 |
| 14 | Vinotinto | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 34:42 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Manta ✔ | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 34:53 | -19 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
