Result
2:0
21/12/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 10
- Referee: Leon R. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (308/377) | 88% (439/498) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (308/377) | 88% (439/498) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/47) | 56% (28/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (71/102) | 68% (57/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Cacciabue J. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 24', 1 - 0, Estrada M. ⚽, Quintero J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lara J. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 46', Alonso M. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
- 46', Anangono G. ↓, Jhon Chancellor ↑,
- 51', 2 - 0, Estrada M. ⚽, Alzugaray L. (A),
- 54', Estrada M. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
- 67', Alzugaray L. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
- 69', Clavijo E. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
- 70', Quintero J. 🟨,
- 79', Villamil G. ↓, Gruezo C. ↑,
- 80', Mina R. ↓, Ortiz P. ↑,
- 80', Medina J. ↓, Mina R. ↑,
- 82', Ramirez Leon B. J. 🟨,
- 82', Troya R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
LDU Quito
58.3% | Draw
24.1% | Universidad Católica del Ecuador
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in LDU Quito's performance.Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LDU Quito that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+5%)
LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.77) |
3.83 ↑
(3.52) |
5.27 ↑
(4.11) |
7.7%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - LDU Quito (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
LDU Quito will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 1.
- LDU Quito is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Uni Católica has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, LDU Quito is a strong favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
LDU Quito has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against LDU Quito?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
18.12.2025
LDU Quito
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:3
04.10.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
LDU Quito
2:2
21.09.2025
LDU Quito
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:4
24.05.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
LDU Quito
3:1
24.11.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
LDU Quito
2:4
Latest results of LDU Quito
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Delfin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Libertad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Aucas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Mushuc Runa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | U. Catolica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Emelec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Orense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Manta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Guayaquil City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
