Mushuc Runa vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 19
  • Referee: Araujo G. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.301.83
Ball Possession
23%77%
Total shots
616
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
57% (89/157)89% (473/533)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.301.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.451.48
Total shots
616
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
07
Shots inside the Box
212
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
636
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
87
Passes
57% (89/157)89% (473/533)
Long passes
37% (22/60)50% (18/36)
Passes in final third
30% (19/63)74% (117/159)
Crosses
0% (0/8)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.071.78
Throw-ins
1415
Fouls
78
Tackles
75% (3/4)50% (4/8)
Duels won
2029
Clearances
2824
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.480.45
Goals prevented
0.51-0.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Gracia A. ,
  • 20', Orejuela C. 🟨,
  • 25', Romo R. 🟨,
  • 28', Bentaberry B. 🟥,
  • 33', Caicedo E. , Chala Rosales W. J. ,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Palacios B. (Pen),
  • 35', Davila E. 🟨,
  • 36', Romero Padilla D. A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Clavijo E. , Londono A. ,
  • 46', Gracia A. , Mina G. ,
  • 46', Orejuela C. , Tapiero S. ,
  • 66', Penilla C. , Olmedo M. ,
  • 72', Moreno L. , Alonso M. ,
  • 73', Rodriguez A. , Troya R. ,
  • 74', Dos Santos J. , Simisterra R. ,
  • 82', Valencia E. , Mejia E. ,
  • 82', Cacciabue J. , Diaz M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mushuc Runa
36.2%
Draw
26.9%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 27.1% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 26.9% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.31)
    3.45
    (3.45)
    2.5
    (2.87)
    8.3%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 1.
    • Mushuc Runa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Uni Católica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mushuc Runa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1.2:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1.3:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Mushuc Runa 1:1
    30.08.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Mushuc Runa 5:1
    22.05.2024 Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:1
    25.11.2023 Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 0:2
    09.06.2023 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Mushuc Runa 3:2
    Latest results of Mushuc Runa
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    Placement Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Dep. Cuenca311371136:32446
    8Emelec311291033:35-245
    9Aucas301181138:41-341
    10Macara309111032:30238
    11EL Nacional31981434:48-1435
    12Delfin316141128:44-1632

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )