Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 19
- Referee: Araujo G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 23% | 77% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (89/157) | 89% (473/533) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (89/157) | 89% (473/533) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (22/60) | 50% (18/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 30% (19/63) | 74% (117/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/8) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Gracia A. ⚽,
- 20', Orejuela C. 🟨,
- 25', Romo R. 🟨,
- 28', Bentaberry B. 🟥,
- 33', Caicedo E. ↓, Chala Rosales W. J. ↑,
- 34', 1 - 1, Palacios B. (Pen),
- 35', Davila E. 🟨,
- 36', Romero Padilla D. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Clavijo E. ↓, Londono A. ↑,
- 46', Gracia A. ↓, Mina G. ↑,
- 46', Orejuela C. ↓, Tapiero S. ↑,
- 66', Penilla C. ↓, Olmedo M. ↑,
- 72', Moreno L. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
- 73', Rodriguez A. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
- 74', Dos Santos J. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
- 82', Valencia E. ↓, Mejia E. ↑,
- 82', Cacciabue J. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mushuc Runa
36.2% | Draw
26.9% | Universidad Católica del Ecuador
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.31) |
3.45 ↓
(3.45) |
2.5 ↓
(2.87) |
8.3%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 1.
- Mushuc Runa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Uni Católica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mushuc Runa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1.2:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1.3:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Mushuc Runa?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
09.03.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Mushuc Runa
1:1
30.08.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Mushuc Runa
5:1
22.05.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:1
25.11.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
0:2
09.06.2023
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Mushuc Runa
3:2
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 53:21 | 32 | 62 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:26 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 4 | Orense | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 45 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 52:36 | 16 | 43 |
| 6 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 7 | Libertad | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 40:35 | 5 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 31:48 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
