Result
0:0
01/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 2
- Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (206/266) | 80% (306/381) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (206/266) | 80% (306/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (35/59) | 44% (26/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (50/82) | 55% (47/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Ibarra R. ↓, Angulo C. ↑,
- 38', Lemos L. 🟨,
- 41', Anangono G. 🟨,
- 41', Mina F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Alonso M. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 67', Lemos L. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 67', Carrillo R. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 67', Mina F. ↓, Minda T. ↑,
- 70', Gamboa M. ↓, Carabali F. ↑,
- 73', Diaz M. 🟨,
- 79', Cacciabue J. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
- 79', Clavijo E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 80', Palacios B. ↓, Rose E. ↑,
- 82', Diaz M. 🟨,
- 87', Sevillano M. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 88', Rose E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mushuc Runa
30.8% | Draw
27.5% | Universidad Católica del Ecuador
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mushuc Runa's form might have worsened.Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Católica del Ecuador's recent form is better than expected.
Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.44) |
3.36 ↑
(3.34) |
2.23 ↓
(2.78) |
8.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 1.
- Mushuc Runa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1.2:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.2:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Mushuc Runa?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
05.07.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:1
09.03.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Mushuc Runa
1:1
30.08.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Mushuc Runa
5:1
22.05.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:1
25.11.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
0:2
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Macara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Delfin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Libertad | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | LDU Quito | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Aucas | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Mushuc Runa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Leones del Norte | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | U. Catolica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Orense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Guayaquil City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Manta | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Emelec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
