Mushuc Runa vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
01/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 2
  • Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorTeleamazonas, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.680.41
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
22
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
85
Passes
77% (206/266)80% (306/381)
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.680.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.510.35
Total shots
157
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
82
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
83
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
208
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1511
Passes
77% (206/266)80% (306/381)
Long passes
59% (35/59)44% (26/59)
Passes in final third
61% (50/82)55% (47/85)
Crosses
24% (5/21)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.17
Throw ins
1824
Fouls
1115
Tackles
70% (7/10)64% (9/14)
Duels won
3836
Clearances
2216
Interceptions
155
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
0.350.51
Goals prevented
0.350.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Ibarra R. , Angulo C. ,
  • 38', Lemos L. 🟨,
  • 41', Anangono G. 🟨,
  • 41', Mina F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Alonso M. , Diaz M. ,
  • 67', Lemos L. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 67', Carrillo R. , Caicedo E. ,
  • 67', Mina F. , Minda T. ,
  • 70', Gamboa M. , Carabali F. ,
  • 73', Diaz M. 🟨,
  • 79', Cacciabue J. , Moreno L. ,
  • 79', Clavijo E. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 80', Palacios B. , Rose E. ,
  • 82', Diaz M. 🟨,
  • 87', Sevillano M. , Mina J. ,
  • 88', Rose E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mushuc Runa
30.8%
Draw
27.5%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 28% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mushuc Runa's form might have worsened.
  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Católica del Ecuador's recent form is better than expected.
  • Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (2.44)
    3.36
    (3.34)
    2.23
    (2.78)
    8.2%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Universidad Católica del Ecuador will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 1.
    • Mushuc Runa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1.2:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.2:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1
    09.03.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Mushuc Runa 1:1
    30.08.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Mushuc Runa 5:1
    22.05.2024 Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:1
    25.11.2023 Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 0:2
    Latest results of Mushuc Runa
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle641111:6513
    2Macara62405:2310
    3LDU Quito63127:6110
    4U. Catolica52306:249
    5Libertad62315:419
    6Barcelona SC62314:319
    7Tecnico U62226:608
    8Dep. Cuenca62225:508
    9Delfin62223:308
    10Aucas61327:8-16
    11Mushuc Runa61326:7-16
    12Guayaquil City61322:4-26
    13Orense61239:11-25
    14Emelec52125:504
    15Manta61142:6-44
    16Leones del Norte60422:7-54

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