Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 22
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (450/513) | 77% (187/244) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (450/513) | 77% (187/244) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (33/46) | 47% (23/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (101/141) | 69% (60/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (9/32) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 63% (17/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | -0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Mena E. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Coelho D. ⚽, Yanis C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Medel G. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
- 46', Barrera C. ↓, Astudillo A. ↑,
- 48', Mesias C. 🟨,
- 49', 1 - 1, Ampuero B. ⚽, Arancibia Flores S. A. (A),
- 55', Mesias C. ↓, Fernandez V. ↑,
- 57', Coelho D. 🟨,
- 65', Arancibia Flores S. A. 🟨,
- 70', Canales A. 🟨,
- 78', Gonzalez D. ↓, Asta-Buruaga T. ↑,
- 78', Bello E. ↓, Corral D. ↑,
- 81', Ampuero B. 🟨,
- 82', Corral D. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 1, Valencia D. ⚽,
- 90+1', Valencia D. ↓, Farias A. ↑,
- 90+2', Montes C. ↓, Rossel J. ↑,
- 90+6', Fernandez V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica
55.9% | Draw
24.4% | Cobresal
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Universidad Católica - Cobresal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.69) |
3.81 ↓
(3.89) |
4.74 ↑
(4.62) |
6.8%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica - Cobresal?
Users Predictions:
Universidad Católica will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Uni Católica is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:23. (average 2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:10. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Cobresal?
Universidad Católica has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cobresal won against Universidad Católica?
Cobresal has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica - Cobresal were as follows:
12.04.2025
Cobresal
-
Universidad Católica
1:1
28.08.2024
Cobresal
-
Universidad Católica
3:1
06.04.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Cobresal
2:0
29.07.2023
Cobresal
-
Universidad Católica
2:2
12.02.2023
Universidad Católica
-
Cobresal
3:3
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Latest results of Cobresal
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 38:12 | 26 | 62 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 32:29 | 3 | 44 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 47:25 | 22 | 42 |
| 6 | Palestino | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:24 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Nublense | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 | La Serena | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Everton | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | Limache | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 28:47 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26:53 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
