Result
1:0
09/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 19
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (502/567) | 84% (317/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (502/567) | 84% (317/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (33/47) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (98/127) | 71% (59/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Bosso Torres O. 🟥,
- 6', 1 - 0, Bello E. ⚽,
- 9', Molina L. ↓, Labrin C. ↑,
- 22', Medel G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Mena E. ↓, Carcamo V. ↑,
- 73', Valencia D. 🟨,
- 73', Campusano J. 🟨,
- 74', Graciani G. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
- 74', Calderon P. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
- 75', Cerezo B. 🟨,
- 81', Valencia J. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
- 81', Bello E. ↓, Corral D. ↑,
- 81', Mateos F. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
- 83', Zampedri F. 🟨,
- 86', Corral D. 🟨,
- 87', Reyes L. 🟨,
- 90+4', Valencia D. ↓, Cerda A. ↑,
- 90+5', Cerda A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica
48.3% | Draw
28.2% | Ñublense
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Católica's performance.Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Católica that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Universidad Católica - Ñublense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.21) |
3.32 ↑
(3.08) |
3.94 ↑
(3.47) |
6.9%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica - Ñublense?
Users Predictions:
Universidad Católica will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Universidad Católica will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Uni Católica might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Ñublense?
Universidad Católica has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Universidad Católica?
Ñublense has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica - Ñublense were as follows:
08.03.2025
Ñublense
-
Universidad Católica
1:1
28.07.2024
Ñublense
-
Universidad Católica
1:2
23.02.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Ñublense
0:1
26.08.2023
Universidad Católica
-
Ñublense
2:1
03.03.2023
Ñublense
-
Universidad Católica
1:2
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Latest results of Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37:12 | 25 | 59 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 47:25 | 22 | 42 |
| 6 | Palestino | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:24 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Nublense | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 22:28 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | La Serena | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Everton | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | Limache | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 28:47 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26:53 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
