Result
1:2
01/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 5
- Referee: Vejar F. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (164/256) | 78% (302/386) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (164/256) | 78% (302/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/53) | 43% (20/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (42/84) | 65% (66/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 26% (7/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Corral D. 🟨,
- 15', Valencia J. 🟨,
- 15', Jeraldino I. 🟨,
- 25', Medel G. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Jeraldino I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 28', Corral D. ↓, Valencia D. ↑,
- 33', Plaza M. 🟨,
- 39', Farias A. 🟨,
- 45+8', Perez N. 🟨,
- 45+10', 1 - 1, Zampedri F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Plaza M. ↓, Valdes A. ↑,
- 56', Reyes L. 🟨,
- 59', Jeraldino I. ↓, Ovelar F. ↑,
- 61', Calderon P. 🟥,
- 67', Graciani G. ↓, Campos Mosqueira F. ↑,
- 67', Valencia J. ↓, Palavecino M. ↑,
- 70', Asta-Buruaga T. 🟨,
- 78', Asta-Buruaga T. ↓, Cerezo B. ↑,
- 79', Martinez J. A. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
- 79', Cerezo B. 🟨,
- 86', Ampuero B. 🟨,
- 87', Rami F. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
- 87', Rivera M. ↓, Salomon C. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Zampedri F. ⚽, Palavecino M. (A),
Chances of winning
Ñublense
33.4% | Draw
29.8% | Universidad Católica
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Ñublense - Universidad Católica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.75) |
3.12 ↓
(3.2) |
2.53 ↑
(2.4) |
7.4%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ñublense - Universidad Católica?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 1.
- In recent matches, Uni Católica has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Uni Católica will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Universidad Católica?
Ñublense has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Ñublense?
Universidad Católica has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Universidad Católica were as follows:
09.10.2025
Universidad Católica
-
Ñublense
1:0
08.03.2025
Ñublense
-
Universidad Católica
1:1
28.07.2024
Ñublense
-
Universidad Católica
1:2
23.02.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Ñublense
0:1
26.08.2023
Universidad Católica
-
Ñublense
2:1
Latest results of Ñublense
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Limache | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Union La Calera | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Huachipato | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Colo Colo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Nublense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | A. Italiano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Cobresal | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | U. De Concepcion | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | U. De Chile | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Coquimbo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Palestino | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | La Serena | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | D. Concepcion | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Everton | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
