Caracas vs Universidad Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Venezuelan Primera Division Caracas - Universidad Central
Result
1:5
05/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 13

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.443.01
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1420
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
79% (253/322)84% (374/447)
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.443.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.353.91
Total shots
1420
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
511
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2427
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
720
Passes
79% (253/322)84% (374/447)
Long passes
60% (24/40)60% (33/55)
Passes in final third
75% (62/83)74% (121/163)
Crosses
29% (2/7)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.93
Throw-ins
1311
Fouls
207
Tackles
100% (6/6)58% (7/12)
Duels won
2036
Clearances
1911
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
3.911.35
Goals prevented
-1.090.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', Rondon J. (Pen),
  • 16', 0 - 1, Sosa S. , Machis D. (A),
  • 18', Murillo J. 🟨,
  • 25', Rivillo D. 🟥,
  • 26', 0 - 2, Machis D. , Sosa S. (A),
  • 27', Vegas C. , Gudino I. ,
  • 43', La Mantia F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 57', 0 - 3, Sosa S. , Martinez A. (A),
  • 61', Correa W. , Covea M. ,
  • 62', Murillo J. , Hernandez J. ,
  • 67', 0 - 4, Zapata J. (Pen),
  • 68', Machis D. , Magallan C. ,
  • 68', Cermeno C. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 74', Cuesta J. , Murillo Y. ,
  • 74', Sosa S. , Ortiz C. ,
  • 74', Aguilar D. , Jimenez N. ,
  • 74', Heraldez L. , Rodriguez V. ,
  • 82', 1 - 4, Hernandez J. , Covea M. (A),
  • 84', Covea M. 🟨,
  • 86', Sole F. , Gomez J. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 5, Zapata J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Caracas
36.1%
Draw
30.9%
Universidad Central
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 31.1% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 31% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Caracas - Universidad Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.34)
    3.05
    (2.96)
    2.85
    (3.13)
    6.3%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Caracas - Universidad Central?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caracas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 10).
    • Caracas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Caracas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caracas - Universidad Central were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Universidad Central - Caracas 1:3
    13.10.2024 Universidad Central - Caracas 1:3
    14.04.2024 Caracas - Universidad Central 2:2
    16.09.2023 Caracas - Universidad Central 0:0
    26.02.2023 Universidad Central - Caracas 0:2
    Latest results of Caracas
    28.09.2025 Monagas - Caracas 2:2
    20.09.2025 Caracas - Zamora 2:0
    14.09.2025 Carabobo - Caracas 1:0
    01.09.2025 Caracas - Yaracuyanos 3:1
    Latest results of Universidad Central
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    Clausura - Quadrangular

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Puerto Cabello33008:269
    2Zamora31113:4-14
    3La Guaira31113:4-14
    4Monagas30031:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caracas32106:427
    2Carabobo31202:115
    3Dep. Tachira30214:5-12
    4Metropolitanos30123:5-21

          Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Final: )