Result
1:5
05/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 13
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 3.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (253/322) | 84% (374/447) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 3.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 3.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (253/322) | 84% (374/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (24/40) | 60% (33/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (62/83) | 74% (121/163) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 20 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.91 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.09 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', Rondon J. (Pen),
- 16', 0 - 1, Sosa S. ⚽, Machis D. (A),
- 18', Murillo J. 🟨,
- 25', Rivillo D. 🟥,
- 26', 0 - 2, Machis D. ⚽, Sosa S. (A),
- 27', Vegas C. ↓, Gudino I. ↑,
- 43', La Mantia F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 57', 0 - 3, Sosa S. ⚽, Martinez A. (A),
- 61', Correa W. ↓, Covea M. ↑,
- 62', Murillo J. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 4, Zapata J. (Pen),
- 68', Machis D. ↓, Magallan C. ↑,
- 68', Cermeno C. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 74', Cuesta J. ↓, Murillo Y. ↑,
- 74', Sosa S. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 74', Aguilar D. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
- 74', Heraldez L. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 4, Hernandez J. ⚽, Covea M. (A),
- 84', Covea M. 🟨,
- 86', Sole F. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 5, Zapata J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Caracas
36.1% | Draw
30.9% | Universidad Central
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Caracas - Universidad Central Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.34) |
3.05 ↑
(2.96) |
2.85 ↓
(3.13) |
6.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Caracas - Universidad Central?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caracas (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 10).
- Caracas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Caracas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Universidad Central?
Caracas has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Central won against Caracas?
Universidad Central has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caracas - Universidad Central were as follows:
27.04.2025
Universidad Central
-
Caracas
1:3
13.10.2024
Universidad Central
-
Caracas
1:3
14.04.2024
Caracas
-
Universidad Central
2:2
16.09.2023
Caracas
-
Universidad Central
0:0
26.02.2023
Universidad Central
-
Caracas
0:2
Latest results of Caracas
Latest results of Universidad Central
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Zamora | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Monagas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caracas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Metropolitanos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Final: )
