Result
1:3
27/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 13
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (246/323) | 81% (337/414) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 3.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (246/323) | 81% (337/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (31/67) | 46% (23/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (65/108) | 73% (116/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.41 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Echenique E. ⚽, Covea M. (A),
- 23', De Santis J. 🟨,
- 28', Yendis J. 🟨,
- 43', Hernandez J. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 2, Echenique E. ⚽, Vegas M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Granko A. ↓, Murillo Y. ↑,
- 46', Vegas M. ↓, Correa W. ↑,
- 46', Gonzalez C. ↓, Silva M. ↑,
- 46', Cumana Y. ↓, Carrillo D. ↑,
- 47', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 56', Hernandez J. (Pen),
- 57', Sosa Samuel 🟨,
- 65', 0 - 3, Rito E. ⚽, Echenique E. (A),
- 66', Gonzalez A. ↓, Mendoza K. ↑,
- 67', Rodriguez V. 🟨,
- 68', Mendoza K. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 3, Sosa Samuel ⚽, Cuesta J. (A),
- 78', Hernandez J. ↓, Pena L. ↑,
- 78', Covea M. 🟨,
- 86', Rodriguez V. ↓, Heraldez L. ↑,
- 86', De Santis J. ↓, Reinoso L. ↑,
- 86', Cuesta J. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 86', Mago L. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
- 88', Silva M. 🟨,
- 90', Martinez A. 🟥,
- 90+3', Reinoso L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad Central
47.9% | Draw
29.4% | Caracas
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Central's form might have worsened.Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+11.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caracas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Universidad Central - Caracas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.62) |
3.15 ↓
(3.8) |
4.09 ↓
(5.19) |
7.9%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11).
- Universidad Central is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad Central won 1.
- Universidad Central is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Caracas is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Caracas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Caracas have a series of home games.
- In this match Universidad Central is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Universidad Central to win the game is with odds 1.89.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Universidad Central won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:16 (average 1:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Central won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:9 (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Central won against Caracas?
Universidad Central has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Universidad Central?
Caracas has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Central - Caracas were as follows:
13.10.2024
Universidad Central
-
Caracas
1:3
14.04.2024
Caracas
-
Universidad Central
2:2
16.09.2023
Caracas
-
Universidad Central
0:0
26.02.2023
Universidad Central
-
Caracas
0:2
Latest results of Universidad Central
Latest results of Caracas
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:6 | 14 | 21 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Monagas | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Caracas | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Puerto Cabello | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Universidad Central | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Estudiantes Merida | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Zamora | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Rayo Zuliano | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Anzoategui FC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5:12 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Metropolitanos | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 5 |
| 13 | Portuguesa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Yaracuyanos | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
