Result
2:0
03/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 5
- Referee: Torres R. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (124/189) | 86% (359/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (124/189) | 86% (359/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/57) | 62% (36/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 41% (33/81) | 73% (84/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 9% (2/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 94% (16/17) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.34 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Gonzalez A. 🟥,
- 21', Ortiz C. 🟨,
- 31', Carrillo D. 🟨,
- 40', Trujillo A. 🟨,
- 43', Moreno Quero L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Murillo Y. ↓, Cumana Y. ↑,
- 46', Trujillo A. ↓, Linarez D. ↑,
- 47', Marchan J. 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 0, Martinez A. ⚽, Sole F. (A),
- 51', Castro C. 🟨,
- 60', Pena R. 🟨,
- 60', Lucena R. ↓, Febres R. ↑,
- 60', Pena R. ↓, Montero Y. ↑,
- 65', Sosa S. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 72', Zapata J. ↓, Cuesta J. ↑,
- 74', Gomez J. 🟨,
- 74', Moreno Quero L. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
- 75', Lopez A. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 0, Cuesta J. ⚽, Cumana Y. (A),
- 81', Ortiz C. ↓, Simarra A. ↑,
- 81', Carrillo D. ↓, De Sousa D. ↑,
- 83', Zuniga K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad Central
46.7% | Draw
28.8% | Portuguesa Acarígua
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Central's form might have worsened.Portuguesa Acarígua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portuguesa Acarígua's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portuguesa Acarígua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Universidad Central - Portuguesa Acarígua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.69) |
3.27 ↓
(3.37) |
3.85 ↓
(4.99) |
6.1%
(8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Universidad Central - Portuguesa Acarígua?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Universidad Central (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Universidad Central will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Universidad Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Universidad Central will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Universidad Central won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Central won against Portuguesa Acarígua?
Universidad Central has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa Acarígua won against Universidad Central?
Portuguesa Acarígua has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Central - Portuguesa Acarígua were as follows:
31.05.2025
Portuguesa Acarígua
-
Universidad Central
1:3
11.05.2025
Universidad Central
-
Portuguesa Acarígua
2:2
22.02.2025
Portuguesa Acarígua
-
Universidad Central
0:1
21.09.2024
Portuguesa Acarígua
-
Universidad Central
1:1
22.03.2024
Universidad Central
-
Portuguesa Acarígua
1:0
Latest results of Universidad Central
Latest results of Portuguesa Acarígua
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:6 | 14 | 21 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Monagas | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Caracas | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Puerto Cabello | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Universidad Central | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Estudiantes Merida | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Zamora | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Rayo Zuliano | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Anzoategui FC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5:12 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Metropolitanos | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 5 |
| 13 | Portuguesa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Yaracuyanos | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
