Universidad César Vallejo vs Unión Comercio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Universidad César Vallejo - Unión Comercio
Result
1:0
13/09/2024 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
214
Shots on Goal
15
Shots off Goal
19
Free Kicks
1513
Corner Kicks
42
Offsides
02
Throw-ins
2942
Goalkeeper Saves
50
Fouls
1213
Yellow Cards
33
Attacks
98133
Dangerous Attacks
4242

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Velez J. , Ballon J. (A),
  • 41', Da Silva P. 🟨,
  • 42', Torres J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Sanchez K. 🟨,
  • 58', Torres J. , Jimenez O. ,
  • 63', Da Silva P. , Noronha O. ,
  • 78', Mena Y. 🟨,
  • 78', Rodriguez A. , Vasquez D. ,
  • 86', Sanchez K. , Zeta H. ,
  • 86', Mena Y. , Perez D. ,
  • 87', Villamarin R. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Vasquez D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Universidad César Vallejo
69.5%
Draw
19.9%
Unión Comercio
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.4% 21.1% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 13.5% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-27.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad César Vallejo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Comercio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Universidad César Vallejo - Unión Comercio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.42)
    4.71
    (4.45)
    8.8
    (7.53)
    7.5%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Universidad César Vallejo - Unión Comercio?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. César Vallejo will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Unión Comercio will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for César Vallejo: 66.1%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 18).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 3.
    • César Vallejo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Unión Comercio has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Unión Comercio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match César Vallejo is certain favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27-17.
    • Including matches at home between the teams César Vallejo won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad César Vallejo - Unión Comercio were as follows:
    06.04.2024 Unión Comercio - Universidad César Vallejo 2:2
    21.07.2023 Unión Comercio - Universidad César Vallejo 1:4
    17.02.2023 Universidad César Vallejo - Unión Comercio 3:1
    Latest results of Unión Comercio
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11003:033
    2Deportivo Garcilaso11003:033
    3Juan Pablo II11003:033
    4U. de Deportes11003:123
    5Cusco11002:023
    6FBC Melgar11002:113
    7Grau11002:113
    8AD Tarma11001:013
    9Alianza Atl10100:001
    10Sport Huancayo10100:001
    11Binacional00000:000
    12Ayacucho10011:2-10
    13Cajamarca10011:2-10
    14Cienciano10010:1-10
    15Comerciantes Unidos10011:3-20
    16Alianza Lima10010:2-20
    17Sport Boys10010:3-30
    18Alianza Huanuco10010:3-30
    19Los Chankas10010:3-30

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