Result
2:1
12/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 7
- Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (191/262) | 79% (258/325) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (191/262) | 79% (258/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (15/41) | 53% (26/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (49/82) | 66% (53/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 82% (18/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Ramirez N. ↓, Calderon F. ↑,
- 15', Almiron J. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Aranguiz C. (Pen),
- 39', 1 - 1, Aquino C. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Amor E. 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 1, Aranguiz C. (Pen),
- 59', Vegas S. 🟨,
- 65', Pavez E. 🟨,
- 65', Aranguiz C. 🟨,
- 69', Contreras R. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
- 69', Aranguiz C. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 73', Diaz M. 🟨,
- 78', Mendez V. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
- 78', Vegas S. ↓, Oroz A. ↑,
- 85', Aquino C. ↓, Bolados M. ↑,
- 87', Guerrero Pena M. G. 🟨,
- 90+1', Diaz M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Pavez E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Guerra N. 🟨,
- 90+6', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
- 90+6', Assadi L. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 90+8', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Universidad de Chile
45.5% | Draw
28.3% | Colo-Colo
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad de Chile's performance.Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colo-Colo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad de Chile that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colo-Colo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Universidad de Chile - Colo-Colo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.62) |
3.35 ↑
(3.22) |
3.6 ↑
(2.67) |
4.9%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile - Colo-Colo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Universidad de Chile will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad de Chile won 1.
- Now both teams are in good shape.
- Colo-Colo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Universidad de Chile will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Universidad de Chile won 1 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 15:33 (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Universidad de Chile won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:16 (average 0.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Colo-Colo?
Universidad de Chile has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colo-Colo won against Universidad de Chile?
Colo-Colo has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Chile - Colo-Colo were as follows:
10.08.2024
Universidad de Chile
-
Colo-Colo
0:0
10.03.2024
Colo-Colo
-
Universidad de Chile
0:1
02.09.2023
Universidad de Chile
-
Colo-Colo
1:1
12.03.2023
Colo-Colo
-
Universidad de Chile
0:0
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Latest results of Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 30:10 | 20 | 44 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 43:18 | 25 | 38 |
| 3 | Palestino | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
| 5 | O'Higgins | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 22:21 | 1 | 34 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 27 |
| 9 | Nublense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 10 | Huachipato | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 25 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Everton | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 20:28 | -8 | 19 |
| 13 | La Serena | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 | Limache | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 17 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 19:37 | -18 | 14 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21:42 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
