Result
2:1
12/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 7
- Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.89 | 1.31 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
73% (191/262) | 79% (258/325) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.89 | 1.31 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.77 | 1.41 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
12 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
73% (191/262) | 79% (258/325) |
Long passes |
---|
37% (15/41) | 53% (26/49) |
Passes in final third |
---|
60% (49/82) | 66% (53/80) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (2/11) | 23% (3/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.50 | 0.35 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
35% (6/17) | 82% (18/22) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 60 |
Clearances |
---|
18 | 16 |
Interceptions |
---|
15 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.41 | 1.77 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.41 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Ramirez N. ↓, Calderon F. ↑,
- 15', Almiron J. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Aranguiz C. (Pen),
- 39', 1 - 1, Aquino C. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Amor E. 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 1, Aranguiz C. (Pen),
- 59', Vegas S. 🟨,
- 65', Pavez E. 🟨,
- 65', Aranguiz C. 🟨,
- 69', Contreras R. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
- 69', Aranguiz C. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 73', Diaz M. 🟨,
- 78', Mendez V. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
- 78', Vegas S. ↓, Oroz A. ↑,
- 85', Aquino C. ↓, Bolados M. ↑,
- 87', Guerrero Pena M. G. 🟨,
- 90+1', Diaz M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Pavez E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Guerra N. 🟨,
- 90+6', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
- 90+6', Assadi L. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 90+8', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Universidad de Chile 45.5% | Draw 28.3% | Colo-Colo 26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad de Chile's performance.Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colo-Colo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad de Chile that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colo-Colo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Universidad de Chile - Colo-Colo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.11 ↓ (2.62) |
3.35 ↑ (3.22) |
3.6 ↑ (2.67) |
4.9% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile - Colo-Colo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Universidad de Chile will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad de Chile won 1.
- Now both teams are in good shape.
- Colo-Colo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Universidad de Chile will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Universidad de Chile won 1 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 15:33 (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Universidad de Chile won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:16 (average 0.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Colo-Colo?
Universidad de Chile has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colo-Colo won against Universidad de Chile?
Colo-Colo has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Chile - Colo-Colo were as follows:
10.08.2024
Universidad de Chile
-
Colo-Colo
0:0
10.03.2024
Colo-Colo
-
Universidad de Chile
0:1
02.09.2023
Universidad de Chile
-
Colo-Colo
1:1
12.03.2023
Colo-Colo
-
Universidad de Chile
0:0
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Latest results of Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coquimbo | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 23:8 | 15 | 35 |
2 | A. Italiano | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 33 |
3 | U. De Chile | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:16 | 19 | 32 |
4 | Palestino | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 28 |
5 | U. Catolica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | O'Higgins | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 26 |
7 | Colo Colo | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 24 |
8 | Cobresal | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 23 |
9 | Union La Calera | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:14 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Huachipato | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Nublense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 20 |
12 | La Serena | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 17 |
13 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Limache | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | U. Espanola | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 15:30 | -15 | 10 |
16 | Deportes Iquique | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16:36 | -20 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso