Result
0:1
01/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 5
- Referee: Garay C. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (295/403) | 67% (201/298) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (295/403) | 67% (201/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (33/77) | 34% (21/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (59/108) | 52% (43/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Vidal A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Morales M. 🟨,
- 61', Eduardo Vargas ↓, Guerrero Pena M. G. ↑,
- 66', Vidal A. ↓, Madrid A. ↑,
- 67', Aquino C. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
- 67', Romero M. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, Zaldivia M. ⚽, Lucero J. (A),
- 72', Morales M. ↓, Salomoni F. ↑,
- 77', Pastran L. 🟨,
- 80', Alarcon T. ↓, Cuevas Y. ↑,
- 81', Lucero J. 🟨,
- 84', Altamirano J. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 85', Ulloa D. ↓, Marchant F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Colo-Colo 40.9% | Draw 28.8% | Universidad de Chile 30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Colo-Colo - Universidad de Chile Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.27 ↑ (2.04) |
3.24 ↑ (3.15) |
3.09 ↓ (3.5) |
7.3% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Colo-Colo - Universidad de Chile?
Users Predictions:
Colo-Colo will win
(19 of 19 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Colo-Colo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 1.
- Colo-Colo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Universidad de Chile is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Colo-Colo could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Colo-Colo won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Colo-Colo won against Universidad de Chile?
Colo-Colo has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Colo-Colo?
Universidad de Chile has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colo-Colo - Universidad de Chile were as follows:
14.09.2025
Colo-Colo
-
Universidad de Chile
0:3
31.08.2025
Colo-Colo
-
Universidad de Chile
1:0
12.07.2025
Universidad de Chile
-
Colo-Colo
2:1
10.08.2024
Universidad de Chile
-
Colo-Colo
0:0
10.03.2024
Colo-Colo
-
Universidad de Chile
0:1
Latest results of Colo-Colo
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Limache | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Nublense | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | U. De Concepcion | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 11 |
| 6 | A. Italiano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Union La Calera | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | U. De Chile | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | O'Higgins | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | La Serena | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Coquimbo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Huachipato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Palestino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | D. Concepcion | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso