Result
1:1
09/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 6
- Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (467/557) | 68% (187/274) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (467/557) | 68% (187/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (22/49) | 32% (23/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (95/141) | 50% (33/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/29) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', Aranguiz C. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
- 38', 0 - 1, Barrea D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ramirez N. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 51', Barrea D. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
- 52', Silva S. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Eduardo Vargas ⚽, Hormazabal F. (A),
- 60', Mater F. 🟨,
- 67', Fuentealba J. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
- 73', Altamirano J. 🟨,
- 77', Morales M. 🟨,
- 82', Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↓, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↑,
- 83', Urzi A. ↓, Ogaz B. ↑,
- 84', Retamal D. ↓, Ubal B. ↑,
- 88', Altamirano J. ↓, Espinoza M. ↑,
- 90+5', Diaz M. 🟥,
- 90+5', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad de Chile
61.7% | Draw
22.7% | Universidad de Concepción
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Universidad de Chile - Universidad de Concepción Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.44) |
4.11 ↓
(4.2) |
6.02 ↓
(6.2) |
6.9%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile - Universidad de Concepción?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Universidad de Chile: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Uni de Concepción may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Universidad de Chile is the clear favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Universidad de Chile won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Universidad de Concepción?
Universidad de Chile has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Concepción won against Universidad de Chile?
Universidad de Concepción has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Chile - Universidad de Concepción were as follows:
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Latest results of Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Limache | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Nublense | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | U. De Concepcion | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 11 |
| 6 | A. Italiano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Union La Calera | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | U. De Chile | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | O'Higgins | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | La Serena | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Coquimbo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Huachipato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Palestino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | D. Concepcion | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
