Universidad de Chile vs Universidad de Concepción – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
09/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Primera - Round 6
  • Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.311.72
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
64
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
115
Passes
84% (467/557)68% (187/274)
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.311.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.181.21
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
65
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
95
Shots outside the box
77
Hit the woodwork
11
Headed goals
11
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
115
Touches in opposition box
2221
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
15
Free kicks
210
Passes
84% (467/557)68% (187/274)
Long passes
45% (22/49)32% (23/71)
Passes in final third
67% (95/141)50% (33/66)
Crosses
21% (6/29)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.091.57
Throw ins
1914
Fouls
102
Tackles
44% (8/18)62% (13/21)
Duels won
5956
Clearances
2232
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
45
xGOT faced
1.211.18
Goals prevented
0.210.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', Aranguiz C. , Arce A. ,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Barrea D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ramirez N. , Diaz M. ,
  • 51', Barrea D. , Uribe A. ,
  • 52', Silva S. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Eduardo Vargas , Hormazabal F. (A),
  • 60', Mater F. 🟨,
  • 67', Fuentealba J. , Parra P. ,
  • 73', Altamirano J. 🟨,
  • 77', Morales M. 🟨,
  • 82', Poblete Zuniga I. E. , Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ,
  • 83', Urzi A. , Ogaz B. ,
  • 84', Retamal D. , Ubal B. ,
  • 88', Altamirano J. , Espinoza M. ,
  • 90+5', Diaz M. 🟥,
  • 90+5', Gonzalez L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Universidad de Chile
61.7%
Draw
22.7%
Universidad de Concepción
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.5% 21.8% 14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 20.9% 14.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Universidad de Chile - Universidad de Concepción Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.44)
    4.11
    (4.2)
    6.02
    (6.2)
    6.9%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile - Universidad de Concepción?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Universidad de Chile: 25.1%83.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Uni de Concepción may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Universidad de Chile is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Universidad de Chile won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.8:1).
    Latest results of Universidad de Chile
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colo Colo86029:4518
    2Limache952220:91117
    3U. Catolica952223:14917
    4Nublense944110:6416
    5Huachipato950415:12315
    6U. De Concepcion94238:14-614
    7U. De Chile934210:6413
    8O'Higgins941412:14-213
    9Coquimbo840411:10112
    10La Serena933310:11-112
    11Everton93249:9011
    12Palestino932413:17-411
    13A. Italiano931511:11010
    14Cobresal931514:17-310
    15Union La Calera92167:18-117
    16D. Concepcion91174:14-104

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso