Universidad San Martín vs Ayacucho – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 Universidad San Martín - Ayacucho
Result
2:1
11/06/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: Liga 2 - Round 11

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Vilchez J. ,
  • 15', Bazan H. 🟨,
  • 27', Peralta S. 🟨,
  • 32', Castillo P. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Arroe J. ,
  • 43', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ismodes D. , Reyes D. ,
  • 66', Delgado G. , Coronel J. ,
  • 69', Huayhua C. , Loayza G. ,
  • 69', Rios M. , Aivar F. ,
  • 69', Barboza S. , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 72', Castillo P. , Vergara H. ,
  • 73', Vilchez J. 🟨,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Vergara H. ,
  • 79', Vilchez J. , Ruidiaz Y. ,
  • 88', Garcia R. , Melgar F. ,
  • 88', Bazan H. , Cano J. ,
  • 90', de la Cruz A. , Keziel Santos ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Universidad San Martín
47.3%
Draw
25.1%
Ayacucho
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.3% 30.1% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30% 29.8% 40%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad San Martín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad San Martín's performance.
  • Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ayacucho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (-17.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad San Martín that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayacucho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Universidad San Martín - Ayacucho Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (3)
    3.61
    (3.03)
    3.29
    (2.3)
    10.2%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Championship Group: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad San Martín won 1.
    • Universidad San Martín is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Ayacucho is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Universidad San Martín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Universidad San Martín will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Universidad San Martín won 4 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24-34.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Universidad San Martín won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-10.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad San Martín - Ayacucho were as follows:
    14.04.2024 Ayacucho - Universidad San Martín 0:1
    01.06.2023 Ayacucho - Universidad San Martín 1:1
    Latest results of Ayacucho
    07.06.2024 Ayacucho - Santos 0:1
    14.05.2024 Moquegua - Ayacucho 0:1
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tacna Heroica32105:327
    2Moquegua21104:224
    3Carlos Mannucci21011:103
    4Cesar Vallejo20110:1-11
    5FC Cajamarca30121:4-31


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio22004:046
    2San Marcos21101:014
    3Santos21012:3-13
    4ADA Jaen30212:3-12
    5Comerciantes30121:4-31

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)