Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Universidad San Martín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad San Martín
Result
4:1
27/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Relegation Group - Round 2

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Zarate M. ,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Matzuda M. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 58', 2 - 1, Zarate M. ,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 64', 3 - 1, Zarate M. ,
  • 71', 4 - 1, Zarate M. ,
  • 82', 🟥,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Llacuabamba
56%
Draw
25%
Universidad San Martín
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 26.4% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 23.1% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Llacuabamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Llacuabamba's performance.
  • Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Llacuabamba than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Llacuabamba that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad San Martín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad San Martín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.82)
    3.77
    (3.45)
    4.96
    (3.86)
    6.1%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad San Martín?
  • Users Predictions: Deportivo Llacuabamba will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportivo Llacuabamba will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llacuabamba won 1.
    • Llacuabamba has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Uni San Martín is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Llacuabamba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Llacuabamba is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Llacuabamba won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Llacuabamba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad San Martín were as follows:
    06.10.2023 Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad San Martín 1:1
    02.10.2023 Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Llacuabamba 1:0
    11.09.2023 Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad San Martín 0:0
    19.06.2023 Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Llacuabamba 2:2
    Latest results of Deportivo Llacuabamba
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tacna Heroica32105:327
    2Moquegua21104:224
    3Carlos Mannucci21011:103
    4Cesar Vallejo20110:1-11
    5FC Cajamarca30121:4-31


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio22004:046
    2San Marcos21101:014
    3Santos21012:3-13
    4ADA Jaen30212:3-12
    5Comerciantes30121:4-31

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)