Result
3:1
08/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (262/334) | 86% (441/510) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (262/334) | 86% (441/510) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (40/79) | 50% (24/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (50/92) | 70% (106/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 18% (6/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | -1.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Torres F. ⚽, Quiroz A. (A),
- 29', Santamaria A. 🟨,
- 41', Carabali J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Carabali J. ↓, Inga C. ↑,
- 47', Torres F. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 1, Riveros W. ⚽, Concha J. (A),
- 69', Palomino J. 🟨,
- 70', Quintero J. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
- 70', Sanchez K. ↓, Ayarza A. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Ayarza A. ⚽, Torres M. (A),
- 74', Velarde C. 🟥,
- 75', Santamaria A. ↓, Corzo A. ↑,
- 81', Perez Guedes M. ↓, Miguel Silveira ↑,
- 81', Alzugaray L. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
- 88', Kaufman M. ↓, Gonzalez H. ↑,
- 89', Torres F. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
- 90+5', Quiroz A. ↓, Guevara B. ↑,
- 90+7', 3 - 1, Torres M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Los Chankas
24.4% | Draw
30.7% | Universitario de Deportes
44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Chankas's performance.Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Deportes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Chankas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Deportes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Los Chankas - Universitario de Deportes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.79 ↓
(4.97) |
3.07 ↓
(3.18) |
2.07 ↑
(1.8) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Los Chankas - Universitario de Deportes?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Uni de Deportes (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Los Chankas (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Los Chankas (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Los Chankas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Uni de Deportes (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 3).
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Los Chankas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Uni de Deportes is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Los Chankas: Ospina J.
(Red Card)
Saravia F.
(Knee Injury)
Velarde C.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Los Chankas: Gonzalez H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Corzo A.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against Universitario de Deportes?
Los Chankas has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against Los Chankas?
Universitario de Deportes has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Los Chankas - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
22.11.2025
Los Chankas
-
Universitario de Deportes
3:1
12.07.2025
Universitario de Deportes
-
Los Chankas
0:0
03.11.2024
Los Chankas
-
Universitario de Deportes
0:0
25.05.2024
Universitario de Deportes
-
Los Chankas
4:0
Latest results of Los Chankas
Latest results of Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Cienciano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Cusco | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Grau | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
