Universitario de Vinto vs Aurora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bolivian Division Profesional Universitario de Vinto - Aurora
Result
1:2
05/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division Profesional - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
boliviaBoliviaFutbol Canal

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.781.69
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
80% (238/297)85% (307/361)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.781.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.612.37
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
69
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
713
Passes
80% (238/297)85% (307/361)
Long passes
36% (17/47)68% (50/73)
Passes in final third
66% (55/83)76% (90/118)
Crosses
31% (5/16)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.77
Throw-ins
1810
Fouls
137
Tackles
64% (9/14)73% (8/11)
Duels won
4744
Clearances
1615
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.371.61
Goals prevented
0.370.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Camacho Almanza D. A. (Pen),
  • 37', Tobar T. 🟨,
  • 39', Amarilla A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', Rey A. , Fernandez A. ,
  • 49', Lencinas J. 🟥,
  • 54', Alipaz J. , Cuellar G. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Huayhuata I. (Pen),
  • 68', Tobar T. , Nunez M. ,
  • 80', Castro R. 🟨,
  • 80', Gonzales M. 🟨,
  • 84', Sanchez A. , Aranibar B. ,
  • 85', Camacho Almanza D. A. , Magallanes J. ,
  • 86', Castro R. , Lujan P. ,
  • 88', Gonzales M. , Lizarraga J. ,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Fernandez A. , Terrazas A. (A),
  • 90+3', Akologo D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Rojas S. , Viviani L. ,

Chances of winning


Universitario de Vinto
33.1%
Draw
28.3%
Aurora
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 25.4% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 25.1% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universitario de Vinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Vinto's form might have worsened.
  • Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aurora's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Vinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aurora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Universitario de Vinto - Aurora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.1)
    3.25
    (3.65)
    2.39
    (3.05)
    9%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Universitario de Vinto - Aurora?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Uni de Vinto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Aurora will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aurora (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Aurora has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Vinto - Aurora were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Aurora - Universitario de Vinto 1:2
    25.05.2024 Universitario de Vinto - Aurora 2:2
    30.07.2023 Aurora - Universitario de Vinto 0:1
    26.02.2023 Universitario de Vinto - Aurora 1:1
    20.10.2022 Aurora - Universitario de Vinto 0:2
    Latest results of Aurora
    29.06.2025 Aurora - Always Ready 1:1
    25.06.2025 Aurora - GVCD San José 2:2
    22.06.2025 Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora 1:1
    14.06.2025 Aurora - GVCD San José 3:1
    Bolivian Division Profesional Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Always Ready15104149:202934
    2The Strongest15111344:271734
    3Blooming1484231:211028
    4Bolivar1483334:161827
    5GV San Jose1572623:26-323
    6SA Bulo Bulo1446423:25-218
    7Academia del Balompie1446417:22-518
    8Universitario de Vinto1445520:22-217
    9Guabira1544726:32-616
    10Oriente Petrolero1444621:29-816
    11Nacional Potosi1335516:16014
    12Real Oruro1535720:26-614
    13Tomayapo1528515:24-914
    14Independiente1426618:31-1312
    15Wilstermann15131111:33-226
    16Aurora1454526:242-14

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Division Profesional (Relegation)
          Relegation