Result
 
                    1:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        05/07/2025 at  20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Division Profesional - Round 13
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.69 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 45% | 55% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 18 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 7 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 80% (238/297) | 85% (307/361) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.69 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.61 | 2.37 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 18 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 7 | 9 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 9 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 9 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 7 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 10 | 18 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 5 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 13 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 80% (238/297) | 85% (307/361) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 36% (17/47) | 68% (50/73) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 66% (55/83) | 76% (90/118) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 17% (3/18) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.77 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 18 | 10 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 13 | 7 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 73% (8/11) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 47 | 44 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 16 | 15 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 5 | 7 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.61 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.35 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
 - 26', 1 - 0, Camacho Almanza D. A. (Pen), 
 - 37', Tobar T. 🟨, 
 - 39', Amarilla A. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 2)
 - 48', Rey A. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑, 
 - 49', Lencinas J. 🟥, 
 - 54', Alipaz J. ↓, Cuellar G. ↑, 
 - 66', 1 - 1, Huayhuata I. (Pen), 
 - 68', Tobar T. ↓, Nunez M. ↑, 
 - 80', Castro R. 🟨, 
 - 80', Gonzales M. 🟨, 
 - 84', Sanchez A. ↓, Aranibar B. ↑, 
 - 85', Camacho Almanza D. A. ↓, Magallanes J. ↑, 
 - 86', Castro R. ↓, Lujan P. ↑, 
 - 88', Gonzales M. ↓, Lizarraga J. ↑, 
 - 89', 1 - 2, Fernandez A. ⚽, Terrazas A. (A), 
 - 90+3', Akologo D. 🟨, 
 - 90+3', Rojas S. ↓, Viviani L. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Universitario de Vinto  33.1% | Draw  28.3% | Aurora  38.6% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Universitario de Vinto - Aurora Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.75 ↑ (2.1) | 
			   3.25 ↓ (3.65) | 
			   2.39 ↓ (3.05) | 
			   9% (7.8%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Universitario de Vinto - Aurora?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            5 users predict this event. Uni de Vinto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Aurora will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aurora (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 3.
 - Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
 - Recently, Aurora has had a series of home games.
  - In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
 - In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Vinto won against Aurora?
                    
                    
                        
                            Universitario de Vinto has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Universitario de Vinto?
                    
                    
                        
                             Aurora has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Vinto - Aurora were as follows:
                                                        
                                22.10.2024 
                                Aurora 
                                - 
                                Universitario de Vinto 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                25.05.2024 
                                Universitario de Vinto 
                                - 
                                Aurora 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                30.07.2023 
                                Aurora 
                                - 
                                Universitario de Vinto 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                26.02.2023 
                                Universitario de Vinto 
                                - 
                                Aurora 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.10.2022 
                                Aurora 
                                - 
                                Universitario de Vinto 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Universitario de Vinto                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Always Ready | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 66:23 | 43 | 55 | 
| 2 | The Strongest | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 64:39 | 25 | 55 | 
| 3 | Bolivar | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 57:24 | 33 | 49 | 
| 4 | Blooming | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 41:38 | 3 | 37 | 
| 5 | Guabira | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 47:48 | -1 | 34 | 
| 6 | Independiente | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 41:48 | -7 | 33 | 
| 7 | SA Bulo Bulo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 31 | 
| 8 | GV San Jose | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:40 | -9 | 31 | 
| 9 | Oriente Petrolero | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38:43 | -5 | 30 | 
| 10 | Tomayapo | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:40 | -8 | 29 | 
| 11 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 | 
| 12 | Real Oruro | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 25 | 
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 28:45 | -17 | 25 | 
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 23 | 
| 15 | Wilstermann | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19:54 | -35 | 12 | 
| 16 | Aurora | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | -5 | 
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation