Result
1:2
05/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.78 | 1.69 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
80% (238/297) | 85% (307/361) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.78 | 1.69 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.61 | 2.37 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
10 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
80% (238/297) | 85% (307/361) |
Long passes |
---|
36% (17/47) | 68% (50/73) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (55/83) | 76% (90/118) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (5/16) | 17% (3/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.74 | 0.77 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 10 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (9/14) | 73% (8/11) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 44 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 15 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.37 | 1.61 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.37 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Camacho Almanza D. A. (Pen),
- 37', Tobar T. 🟨,
- 39', Amarilla A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', Rey A. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
- 49', Lencinas J. 🟥,
- 54', Alipaz J. ↓, Cuellar G. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Huayhuata I. (Pen),
- 68', Tobar T. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
- 80', Castro R. 🟨,
- 80', Gonzales M. 🟨,
- 84', Sanchez A. ↓, Aranibar B. ↑,
- 85', Camacho Almanza D. A. ↓, Magallanes J. ↑,
- 86', Castro R. ↓, Lujan P. ↑,
- 88', Gonzales M. ↓, Lizarraga J. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 2, Fernandez A. ⚽, Terrazas A. (A),
- 90+3', Akologo D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Rojas S. ↓, Viviani L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universitario de Vinto 33.1% | Draw 28.3% | Aurora 38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Vinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Vinto's form might have worsened.Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aurora's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Vinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aurora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Universitario de Vinto - Aurora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.75 ↑ (2.1) |
3.25 ↓ (3.65) |
2.39 ↓ (3.05) |
9% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universitario de Vinto - Aurora?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Uni de Vinto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Aurora will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aurora (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Aurora has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Vinto won against Aurora?
Universitario de Vinto has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Universitario de Vinto?
Aurora has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Vinto - Aurora were as follows:
22.10.2024
Aurora
-
Universitario de Vinto
1:2
25.05.2024
Universitario de Vinto
-
Aurora
2:2
30.07.2023
Aurora
-
Universitario de Vinto
0:1
26.02.2023
Universitario de Vinto
-
Aurora
1:1
20.10.2022
Aurora
-
Universitario de Vinto
0:2
Latest results of Universitario de Vinto
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Always Ready | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 49:20 | 29 | 34 |
2 | The Strongest | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 44:27 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Blooming | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 31:21 | 10 | 28 |
4 | Bolivar | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34:16 | 18 | 27 |
5 | GV San Jose | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | 23 |
6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 23:25 | -2 | 18 |
7 | Academia del Balompie | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 17:22 | -5 | 18 |
8 | Universitario de Vinto | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 17 |
9 | Guabira | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 26:32 | -6 | 16 |
10 | Oriente Petrolero | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:29 | -8 | 16 |
11 | Nacional Potosi | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 14 |
12 | Real Oruro | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 14 |
13 | Tomayapo | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 |
14 | Independiente | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:31 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Wilstermann | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11:33 | -22 | 6 |
16 | Aurora | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 26:24 | 2 | -14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation