Result
1:2
05/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (238/297) | 85% (307/361) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 2.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (238/297) | 85% (307/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (17/47) | 68% (50/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (55/83) | 76% (90/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Camacho Almanza D. A. (Pen),
- 37', Tobar T. 🟨,
- 39', Amarilla A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', Rey A. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
- 49', Lencinas J. 🟥,
- 54', Alipaz J. ↓, Cuellar G. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Huayhuata I. (Pen),
- 68', Tobar T. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
- 80', Castro R. 🟨,
- 80', Gonzales M. 🟨,
- 84', Sanchez A. ↓, Aranibar B. ↑,
- 85', Camacho Almanza D. A. ↓, Magallanes J. ↑,
- 86', Castro R. ↓, Lujan P. ↑,
- 88', Gonzales M. ↓, Lizarraga J. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 2, Fernandez A. ⚽, Terrazas A. (A),
- 90+3', Akologo D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Rojas S. ↓, Viviani L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universitario de Vinto
33.1% | Draw
28.3% | Aurora
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Vinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Vinto's form might have worsened.Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aurora's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Vinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aurora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Universitario de Vinto - Aurora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.1) |
3.25 ↓
(3.65) |
2.39 ↓
(3.05) |
9%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universitario de Vinto - Aurora?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Uni de Vinto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Aurora will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aurora (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Aurora has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Vinto won against Aurora?
Universitario de Vinto has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Universitario de Vinto?
Aurora has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Vinto - Aurora were as follows:
22.10.2024
Aurora
-
Universitario de Vinto
1:2
25.05.2024
Universitario de Vinto
-
Aurora
2:2
30.07.2023
Aurora
-
Universitario de Vinto
0:1
26.02.2023
Universitario de Vinto
-
Aurora
1:1
20.10.2022
Aurora
-
Universitario de Vinto
0:2
Latest results of Universitario de Vinto
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | The Strongest | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 51:30 | 21 | 43 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 52:21 | 31 | 40 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 43:21 | 22 | 34 |
| 4 | Blooming | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 36:28 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | GV San Jose | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 26 |
| 6 | Guabira | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 | SA Bulo Bulo | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Independiente | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 20 |
| 10 | Real Oruro | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28:32 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | Universitario de Vinto | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:32 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tomayapo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:31 | -12 | 20 |
| 13 | Oriente Petrolero | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 26:37 | -11 | 19 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 18 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14:40 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 | Aurora | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32:31 | 1 | -8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
