Universitario de Vinto vs GVCD San José – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba).

Division Profesional - Round 15
Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.38	0.53
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
5	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
3	0
Passes
85% (398/468)	79% (251/318)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38	0.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.58	0.02
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
13	4
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
3	0
Touches in opposition box
22	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
8	14
Passes
85% (398/468)	79% (251/318)
Long passes
59% (46/78)	49% (26/53)
Passes in final third
71% (73/103)	70% (67/96)
Crosses
11% (1/9)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.47	0.31
Throw-ins
16	30
Fouls
14	8
Tackles
90% (9/10)	100% (13/13)
Duels won
31	40
Clearances
11	14
Interceptions
12	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.02	1.58
Goals prevented
0.02	-2.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (4 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Calicho J. ⚽, Cuellar J. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Cuellar J. ⚽, Castro R. (A),
26', 3 - 0, Cuellar G. ⚽, Alipaz J. (A),
35', Seimandi A. 🟨,
37', 4 - 0, Jara A. ⚽, Castro R. (A),
45+1', Esdras Mendoza 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tapia G. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
46', Roca F. ↓, Villamil J. ↑,
46', Esdras Mendoza ↓, Valda D. ↑,
60', Roca D. 🟨,
65', Calicho J. 🟨,
66', Gimenez D. ↓, Jose Pinto ↑,
66', Calicho J. ↓, Magallanes J. ↑,
67', Vasquez F. ↓, Pena S. ↑,
68', Jose Pinto 🟨,
81', Cuellar J. ↓, Pessoa C. ↑,
81', Castro R. ↓, Lujan P. ↑,
84', Landa A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Universitario de Vinto
51%

Draw
25%

GVCD San José
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

26.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

26.2%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Vinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Vinto's performance.

GVCD San José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GVCD San José might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitario de Vinto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GVCD San José could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Universitario de Vinto - GVCD San José Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.38)	3.71 ↑ (3.45)	3.83 ↑ (2.65)	8.4% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
Recent form of Uni de Vinto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
GVCD San José is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Uni de Vinto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Uni de Vinto has had a series of away games.
Recently, GVCD San José has had a series of home games.
Uni de Vinto could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Vinto won against GVCD San José?

Universitario de Vinto has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has GVCD San José won against Universitario de Vinto?

GVCD San José has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Vinto - GVCD San José were as follows:

03.12.2024 GVCD San José - Universitario de Vinto 4:1

07.08.2024 Universitario de Vinto - GVCD San José 1:1

Latest results of Universitario de Vinto

15.07.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto 0:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto 1:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Universitario de Vinto - Aurora 1:2 ✺

02.07.2025 Oriente Petrolero - Universitario de Vinto 3:2 ✺

29.06.2025 The Strongest - Universitario de Vinto 3:2 ✺

Latest results of GVCD San José

13.07.2025 GVCD San José - Jorge Wilstermann 2:1 ✺

09.07.2025 GVCD San José - Aurora 1:1 ✺

06.07.2025 GVCD San José - Oriente Petrolero 5:1 ✺

03.07.2025 GVCD San José - ABB 5:0 ✺

25.06.2025 Aurora - GVCD San José 2:2 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready	23	17	4	2	66:23	43	55
2	The Strongest	23	17	1	5	62:38	24	52
3	Bolivar	22	14	4	4	54:24	30	46
4	Blooming	23	11	4	8	41:38	3	37
5	Guabira	23	10	4	9	47:44	3	34
6	SA Bulo Bulo	23	8	7	8	43:39	4	31
7	Independiente	23	8	6	9	38:46	-8	30
8	GV San Jose	23	9	3	11	30:39	-9	30
9	Nacional Potosi	23	7	6	10	37:32	5	27
10	Oriente Petrolero	23	7	6	10	34:43	-9	27
11	Tomayapo	23	6	8	9	26:39	-13	26
12	Universitario de Vinto	23	6	7	10	28:42	-14	25
13	Real Oruro	23	6	6	11	38:50	-12	24
14	Academia del Balompie	23	5	8	10	25:40	-15	23
15	Wilstermann	23	2	6	15	18:48	-30	12
16	Aurora	22	8	4	10	39:41	-2	-5

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation