Universitario de Vinto vs Jorge Wilstermann – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/09/2025 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba).

Division Profesional - Round 23
Referee: Balboa M. (Bol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.41	0.83
Ball Possession
69%	31%
Total shots
19	11
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
86% (333/385)	60% (105/174)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41	0.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.93	1.11
Total shots
19	11
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked Shots
7	2
Shots inside the Box
16	4
Shots outside the Box
3	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
33	5
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
14	18
Passes
86% (333/385)	60% (105/174)
Long passes
70% (51/73)	36% (25/69)
Passes in final third
74% (105/142)	40% (25/62)
Crosses
21% (7/33)	25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.79	0.35
Throw-ins
23	11
Fouls
18	14
Tackles
100% (7/7)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
31	41
Clearances
9	32
Interceptions
9	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.11	0.93
Goals prevented
0.11	-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Magallanes J. 🟨,
36', Valda D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Alipaz J. ↓, Lujan P. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Caceres A. ⚽, Montano J. (A),
55', Corrales R. 🟥,
64', Jara A. ↓, Mejia F. ↑,
64', Magallanes J. ↓, Cabezas B. ↑,
68', Montano J. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
75', Valda D. ↓, Abrego J. ↑,
81', Jose Pinto 🟥,
81', Castro R. 🟨,
90+4', Robson 🟨,
90+6', Caceres A. ↓, Zenteno J. ↑,
90+8', 1 - 1, Luciano ⚽, Cabezas B. (A),

Chances of winning

Universitario de Vinto
43.3%

Draw
28.6%

Jorge Wilstermann
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

25.7%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

24.6%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Vinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Vinto's form might have worsened.

Jorge Wilstermann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Vinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jorge Wilstermann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Universitario de Vinto - Jorge Wilstermann Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.82)	3.25 ↓ (3.58)	3.27 ↓ (3.87)	7.3% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 1.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Wilstermann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Uni de Vinto is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.8:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Vinto won against Jorge Wilstermann?

Universitario de Vinto has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jorge Wilstermann won against Universitario de Vinto?

Jorge Wilstermann has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Vinto - Jorge Wilstermann were as follows:

17.05.2025 Jorge Wilstermann - Universitario de Vinto 0:2

18.12.2024 Universitario de Vinto - Jorge Wilstermann 1:1

13.09.2024 Jorge Wilstermann - Universitario de Vinto 1:1

23.08.2023 Jorge Wilstermann - Universitario de Vinto 0:0

08.04.2023 Universitario de Vinto - Jorge Wilstermann 0:1

Latest results of Universitario de Vinto

25.09.2025 ABB - Universitario de Vinto 2:0 ✺

22.09.2025 Universitario de Vinto - Real Oruro 2:2 ✺

18.09.2025 Always Ready - Universitario de Vinto 5:1 ✺

12.09.2025 Universitario de Vinto - Real Tomayapo 1:0 ✺

30.08.2025 San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Universitario de Vinto 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Jorge Wilstermann

24.09.2025 Jorge Wilstermann - Blooming 1:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Always Ready - Jorge Wilstermann 2:0 ✺

17.09.2025 Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí 2:5 ✺

14.09.2025 ABB - Jorge Wilstermann 0:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora 1:3 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready	23	17	4	2	66:23	43	55
2	The Strongest	22	16	1	5	59:37	22	49
3	Bolivar	21	13	4	4	52:23	29	43
4	Blooming	22	11	4	7	40:36	4	37
5	Guabira	22	10	4	8	45:41	4	34
6	SA Bulo Bulo	23	8	7	8	43:39	4	31
7	Independiente	22	8	6	8	37:43	-6	30
8	GV San Jose	23	9	3	11	30:39	-9	30
9	Nacional Potosi	23	7	6	10	37:32	5	27
10	Oriente Petrolero	23	7	6	10	34:43	-9	27
11	Universitario de Vinto	23	6	7	10	28:42	-14	25
12	Real Oruro	23	6	6	11	38:50	-12	24
13	Tomayapo	22	5	8	9	23:37	-14	23
14	Academia del Balompie	23	5	8	10	25:40	-15	23
15	Wilstermann	23	2	6	15	18:48	-30	12
16	Aurora	22	8	4	10	39:41	-2	-5

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation