Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 23
- Referee: Balboa M. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (333/385) | 60% (105/174) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (333/385) | 60% (105/174) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (51/73) | 36% (25/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (105/142) | 40% (25/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/33) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Magallanes J. 🟨,
- 36', Valda D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Alipaz J. ↓, Lujan P. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 1, Caceres A. ⚽, Montano J. (A),
- 55', Corrales R. 🟥,
- 64', Jara A. ↓, Mejia F. ↑,
- 64', Magallanes J. ↓, Cabezas B. ↑,
- 68', Montano J. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
- 75', Valda D. ↓, Abrego J. ↑,
- 81', Jose Pinto 🟥,
- 81', Castro R. 🟨,
- 90+4', Robson 🟨,
- 90+6', Caceres A. ↓, Zenteno J. ↑,
- 90+8', 1 - 1, Luciano ⚽, Cabezas B. (A),
Chances of winning
Universitario de Vinto
43.3% | Draw
28.6% | Jorge Wilstermann
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Vinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Vinto's form might have worsened.Jorge Wilstermann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Vinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jorge Wilstermann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Universitario de Vinto - Jorge Wilstermann Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(1.82) |
3.25 ↓
(3.58) |
3.27 ↓
(3.87) |
7.3%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universitario de Vinto - Jorge Wilstermann?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wilstermann (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Wilstermann (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Wilstermann (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Wilstermann (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Wilstermann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Uni de Vinto is a strong favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Vinto won against Jorge Wilstermann?
Universitario de Vinto has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jorge Wilstermann won against Universitario de Vinto?
Jorge Wilstermann has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Vinto - Jorge Wilstermann were as follows:
17.05.2025
Jorge Wilstermann
-
Universitario de Vinto
0:2
18.12.2024
Universitario de Vinto
-
Jorge Wilstermann
1:1
13.09.2024
Jorge Wilstermann
-
Universitario de Vinto
1:1
23.08.2023
Jorge Wilstermann
-
Universitario de Vinto
0:0
08.04.2023
Universitario de Vinto
-
Jorge Wilstermann
0:1
Latest results of Universitario de Vinto
Latest results of Jorge Wilstermann
Draw
RelegationFinal| 1 | Academia del Balompie | San Juan FC | 3 : 0, 1 : 3 |
