Universitatea Craiova vs Sparta Prague – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
chinaChinaZhiBo8
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 14
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 14
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 15
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.55
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
715
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
08
Passes
80% (281/350)83% (406/490)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.421.85
Total shots
715
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
08
Touches in opposition box
1134
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
80% (281/350)83% (406/490)
Long passes
44% (25/57)48% (30/62)
Passes in final third
63% (33/52)65% (81/124)
Crosses
40% (2/5)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.270.91
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
1113
Tackles
70% (14/20)85% (11/13)
Duels won
4842
Clearances
447
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.850.42
Goals prevented
-0.15-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Preciado A. 🟨,
  • 38', Mekvabishvili A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Rrahmani A. , Haraslin L. (A),
  • 53', Sorensen A. 🟨,
  • 57', Mekvabishvili A. , Nsimba S. ,
  • 67', Mannsverk S. , Eneme S. ,
  • 67', Rrahmani A. , Kuchta J. ,
  • 71', Etim M. , Basceanu L. ,
  • 72', Teles , Houri L. ,
  • 72', Haraslin L. , Birmancevic V. ,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Nsimba S. , Cretu A. (A),
  • 82', Baiaram S. , Stevanovic N. ,
  • 84', Mercado J. , Kuol G. ,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Rynes M. , Preciado A. (A),
  • 90+1', Kuol G. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Romanchuk O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Universitatea Craiova
28.9%
Draw
29.5%
Sparta Prague
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 29.8% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 31.2% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universitatea Craiova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Universitatea Craiova - Sparta Prague Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (2.77)
    3.21
    (3.11)
    2.27
    (2.53)
    5.9%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Universitatea Craiova - Sparta Prague?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Uni Craiova will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Sparta Prague will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.9%69.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Uni Craiova (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Uni Craiova (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Uni Craiova (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Craiova (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Uni Craiova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Sparta Prague has had a series of away games.
    • Sparta Prague could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Uni Craiova: Bancu N. (Yellow Cards) Mora C. (Muscle Injury) Radulescu M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M. (Knee Injury) Holly D. (Health problems) Martinec J. (Inactive) Sevinsky A. (Health problems) Uchenna E. (Health problems) Vorel V. (Inactive) Zeleny J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Uni Craiova: Mogos V. (Inactive)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Universitatea Craiova
    Latest results of Sparta Prague
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 2
    2Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)1 : 0
    3Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)1 : 1
    4Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)0 : 3
    5Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 1
    6Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)1 : 1
    8Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)0 : 1
    9Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    10Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    11AEK Athens (3)Bye
    12Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    13Mainz (7)Bye
    14AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    15Strasbourg (1)Bye
    16Rakow (2)Bye