University College Dublin vs Finn Harps – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
irelandIrelandLOI TV

Match Stats

Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
53
Corner kicks
83
Yellow cards
02
Total shots
125
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
72
Corner kicks
83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Holohan N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Brogan O. 🟨,
  • 56', Tourish C. , Hutchison M. ,
  • 68', Lumingo N. , McNamee T. ,
  • 68', Ajibola T. , McLaughlin A. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Benny ,
  • 70', Morley T. , Dignam L. ,
  • 70', Clancy E. , Lennox C. ,
  • 78', Cullen J. 🟨,
  • 85', Cailloce K. , Ogbonna G. ,
  • 90+2', Benny , Zerrouk I. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Dignam L. ,

Chances of winning


University College Dublin
52.3%
Draw
26.1%
Finn Harps
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 27.3% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 26.2% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • University College Dublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in University College Dublin's performance.
  • Finn Harps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Finn Harps than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • University College Dublin - Finn Harps Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.96)
    3.52
    (3.37)
    4.26
    (3.56)
    8.7%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Play Offs: ) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCD won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • UCD could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UCD won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UCD won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between University College Dublin - Finn Harps were as follows:
    20.02.2026 Finn Harps - University College Dublin 2:1
    17.10.2025 Finn Harps - University College Dublin 3:4
    18.07.2025 Finn Harps - University College Dublin 3:0
    11.07.2025 University College Dublin - Finn Harps 3:1
    23.05.2025 Finn Harps - University College Dublin 1:2
    Latest results of University College Dublin
    Latest results of Finn Harps
    10.04.2026 Finn Harps - Cobh Ramblers 0:2
    03.04.2026 Finn Harps - Cork City 0:0
    28.03.2026 Longford Town - Finn Harps 0:1
    20.03.2026 Kerry - Finn Harps 1:0
    Irish Division 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cork City1183021:81327
    2UC Dublin1263318:81021
    3Wexford1254317:15219
    4Athlone1261515:16-119
    5Bray1244414:14016
    6Cobh Ramblers1244413:16-316
    7Longford123548:9-114
    8Finn Harps1225512:16-411
    9Kerry1215612:18-68
    10Treaty United111469:19-107

          Promotion ~ Premier Division
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Play Offs: )