University of New South Wales vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/04/2026 at 03:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL NSW - Round 10

Match Stats

Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
44
Corner kicks
36
Red cards
10
Total shots
714
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
310
Corner kicks
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 72', 1 - 1, ,
  • 85', 🟥,

Chances of winning


University of New South Wales
11%
Draw
16.4%
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.3% 20.9% 63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1% 20.6% 64.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • University of New South Wales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • APIA Leichhardt Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting APIA Leichhardt Tigers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for University of New South Wales than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for APIA Leichhardt Tigers than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for APIA Leichhardt Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • University of New South Wales - APIA Leichhardt Tigers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.37
    (5.97)
    5.63
    (4.37)
    1.27
    (1.43)
    8.5%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In recent matches, UNSW has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • APIA Leichhardt is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • UNSW may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, APIA Leichhardt is the obvious favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Australian NPL NSW Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sydney Utd1091019:61328
    2APIA Leichhardt1072121:111023
    3Marconi Stallions1071219:81122
    4Rockdale Ilinden1060419:14518
    5NWS Spirit1052313:12117
    6Wollongong Wolves1052311:11017
    7St George Saints1051412:12016
    8Sutherland Sharks1050516:13315
    9WS Wanderers U211041516:14213
    10Sydney FC U231041514:16-213
    11St. George City102449:16-710
    12UNSW1023515:16-19
    13Manly Utd102356:13-79
    14SD Raiders1022615:25-108
    15Blacktown City1012713:20-75
    16Sydney Olympic1011812:23-114

          Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          NPL NSW (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ NSW League One