University of New South Wales vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/04/2026 at 03:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL NSW - Round 10

Match Stats

Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
44
Corner kicks
36
Red cards
10
Total shots
714
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
310
Corner kicks
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 72', 1 - 1, ,
  • 85', 🟥,

Chances of winning


University of New South Wales
11%
Draw
16.4%
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.3% 20.9% 63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1% 20.6% 64.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • University of New South Wales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • APIA Leichhardt Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting APIA Leichhardt Tigers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for University of New South Wales than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for APIA Leichhardt Tigers than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for APIA Leichhardt Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • University of New South Wales - APIA Leichhardt Tigers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.37
    (5.97)
    5.63
    (4.37)
    1.27
    (1.43)
    8.5%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In recent matches, UNSW has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • APIA Leichhardt is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • UNSW may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, APIA Leichhardt is the obvious favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Australian NPL NSW Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1APIA Leichhardt13102130:151532
    2Marconi Stallions13101229:121731
    3Sydney Utd12101122:91331
    4Wollongong Wolves1272314:12223
    5Rockdale Ilinden1270521:18321
    6NWS Spirit1362517:17020
    7Sydney FC U231353521:18318
    8WS Wanderers U211351722:18416
    9Sutherland Sharks1351719:19016
    10St George Saints1351713:19-616
    11SD Raiders1342720:29-914
    12UNSW1334620:21-113
    13Manly Utd1333712:20-812
    14Blacktown City1324718:24-610
    15St. George City1324710:24-1410
    16Sydney Olympic1221915:28-137

          Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          NPL NSW (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ NSW League One