University of Pretoria vs Mamelodi Sundowns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South African Nedbank Cup University of Pretoria - Mamelodi Sundowns
Result
1:2 penalties
12/04/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AFRICA: Nedbank Cup - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
26%74%
Goal Attempts
620
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
216
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Yellow Cards
13
Attacks
88186
Dangerous Attacks
66128

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Costa L. ,
  • 31', Kekana G. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Abrahams D. , Pheeane K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Morena T. , Lorch T. ,
  • 62', Maema N. , Sirino G. ,
  • 69', Gum S. 🟨,
  • 70', Mvambi A. , Tonisi A. ,
  • 75', Gum S. , Makara T. ,
  • 75', Marebane K. , Mokoena T. ,
  • 80', Zwane T. , Mabena S. ,
  • 80', Modiba A. , Shalulile P. ,
  • 90+3', Allende M. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 96', Aubaas B. J. 🟨,
  • 98', Julies S. , Sekotlong T. ,
  • 105', Pheeane K. , Makungo T. ,
  • 110', Kekana G. , Maseko T. ,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, Mokoena T. (Pen),
  • 1, Allende M. (Pen),
  • 2, Sekotlong T. (Pen),
  • 2, Sirino G. (Pen),
  • 3, Mpedi S. (Pen),
  • 3, Costa L. (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Chances of winning


University of Pretoria
9.3%
Draw
19%
Mamelodi Sundowns
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.6% 22.1% 66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4% 19.1% 57.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • University of Pretoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mamelodi Sundowns's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for University of Pretoria than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mamelodi Sundowns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • University of Pretoria - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.81
    (7.89)
    4.81
    (4.13)
    1.28
    (1.38)
    9.4%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches University of Pretoria won 0.
    • Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.
    • Mamelodi Sundowns could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Mamelodi Sundowns is certain favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches University of Pretoria won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams University of Pretoria won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.
    Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/32-finals
    1Mamelodi SundownsBye
    2ByeSibanye
    3MpheniBye
    4Pretoria U.Hungry Lions0 : 1
    5Royal AMBye
    6Upington CityMilford FC0 : 2
    7SekhukhuneBye
    8ByeCape Town City
    9StellenboschBye
    10Orbit CollegeKruger United0 : 1
    11PolokwaneBye
    12ByeThe Bees
    13Kaizer ChiefsBye
    14ByeFree Agents
    15Golden ArrowsBye
    16ByeChippa Utd.
    17MagesiBye
    18ByeSupersport Utd
    19JDR StarsVenda1 : 4
    20Black LeopardsCape Town Spurs0 : 1
    21Richards BayBye
    22ByeOrlando Pirates
    23UmvotiBye
    24Casric StarsBaroka0 : 2
    25Lerumo LionsBye
    26Durban CityHighbury1 : 0
    27TS GalaxyBye
    28ByeVasco Da Gama
    29Leruma UnitedPretoria Callies0 : 1
    30ByeMarumo Gallants
    31AmaZuluBye
    32ByeMighty Eagles

    1/16-finals
    1Mamelodi SundownsSibanye5 : 2
    2MpheniHungry Lions3 : 1
    3Royal AMMilford FC (WO.)
    4SekhukhuneCape Town City2 : 0
    5StellenboschKruger United2 : 1
    6PolokwaneThe Bees1 : 0
    7Kaizer ChiefsFree Agents4 : 0
    8Golden ArrowsChippa Utd.1 : 2
    9MagesiSupersport Utd0 : 2
    10VendaCape Town Spurs1 : 3
    11Richards BayOrlando Pirates1 : 3
    12UmvotiBaroka0 : 3
    13Lerumo LionsDurban City0 : 2
    14TS GalaxyVasco Da Gama7 : 0
    15Pretoria CalliesMarumo Gallants0 : 1
    16AmaZuluMighty Eagles5 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Mamelodi SundownsMpheni2 : 0
    2Milford FCSekhukhune1 : 2
    3StellenboschPolokwane2 : 0
    4Kaizer ChiefsChippa Utd.3 : 0
    5Supersport UtdCape Town Spurs2 : 1
    6Orlando PiratesBaroka3 : 1
    7Durban CityTS Galaxy2 : 1
    8Marumo GallantsAmaZulu1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Mamelodi SundownsSekhukhune1 : 0
    2StellenboschKaizer Chiefs1 : 3
    3Supersport UtdOrlando Pirates2 : 3
    4Durban CityMarumo Gallants0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Mamelodi SundownsKaizer Chiefs1 : 2
    2Orlando PiratesMarumo Gallants1 : 0

    Final
    1Kaizer ChiefsOrlando Pirates2 : 1