University of Pretoria vs Mamelodi Sundowns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
12/04/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AFRICA: Nedbank Cup - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
26%74%
Goal Attempts
620
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
216
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Yellow Cards
13
Attacks
88186
Dangerous Attacks
66128

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Costa L. ,
  • 31', Kekana G. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Abrahams D. , Pheeane K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Morena T. , Lorch T. ,
  • 62', Maema N. , Sirino G. ,
  • 69', Gum S. 🟨,
  • 70', Mvambi A. , Tonisi A. ,
  • 75', Gum S. , Makara T. ,
  • 75', Marebane K. , Mokoena T. ,
  • 80', Zwane T. , Mabena S. ,
  • 80', Modiba A. , Shalulile P. ,
  • 90+3', Allende M. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 96', Aubaas B. J. 🟨,
  • 98', Julies S. , Sekotlong T. ,
  • 105', Pheeane K. , Makungo T. ,
  • 110', Kekana G. , Maseko T. ,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, Mokoena T. (Pen),
  • 1, Allende M. (Pen),
  • 2, Sekotlong T. (Pen),
  • 2, Sirino G. (Pen),
  • 3, Mpedi S. (Pen),
  • 3, Costa L. (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Chances of winning


University of Pretoria
9.3%
Draw
19%
Mamelodi Sundowns
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.6% 22.1% 66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4% 19.1% 57.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • University of Pretoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mamelodi Sundowns's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for University of Pretoria than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mamelodi Sundowns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • University of Pretoria - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.81
    (7.89)
    4.81
    (4.13)
    1.28
    (1.38)
    9.4%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches University of Pretoria won 0.
    • Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.
    • Mamelodi Sundowns could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Mamelodi Sundowns is certain favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches University of Pretoria won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams University of Pretoria won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.
    Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1PolokwaneBye
    2ByeAmaZulu
    3SiweleleBye
    4ByeRichards Bay
    5Army RocketBye
    6Black LeopardsCasric Stars0 : 1
    7TshakhumaBye
    8ByeOrlando Pirates
    9Hungry LionsVenda2 : 1
    10Leicesterford CityPretoria U.1 : 2
    11Kruger UnitedHighbury0 : 3
    12ByeSekhukhune
    13SSU M-17Bye
    14Milford FCBaroka2 : 0
    15MkhambathiBye
    16Lerumo LionsMidlands Wanderers1 : 0
    17TS GalaxyBye
    18ByeMarumo Gallants
    19Mamelodi SundownsBye
    20The BeesGomora0 : 1
    21CardinalsBye
    22ByeJacksa Spears
    23Vasco Da GamaBye
    24ByeLuthuli Brigades
    25Golden ArrowsBye
    26ByeOrbit College
    27StellenboschBye
    28ByeKaizer Chiefs
    29Cape Town CityUpington City0 : 1
    30ByeMagesi
    31Durban CityBye
    32ByeChippa Utd.

    1/16-finals
    1PolokwaneAmaZulu1 : 2
    2SiweleleRichards Bay3 : 4
    3Army RocketCasric Stars0 : 3
    4TshakhumaOrlando Pirates1 : 4
    5Hungry LionsPretoria U.1 : 2
    6HighburySekhukhune0 : 1
    7SSU M-17Milford FC1 : 2
    8MkhambathiLerumo Lions2 : 1
    9TS GalaxyMarumo Gallants1 : 0
    10Mamelodi SundownsGomora2 : 1
    11CardinalsJacksa Spears2 : 4
    12Vasco Da GamaLuthuli Brigades4 : 1
    13Golden ArrowsOrbit College3 : 0
    14StellenboschKaizer Chiefs2 : 1
    15Upington CityMagesi1 : 0
    16Durban CityChippa Utd.1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1AmaZuluRichards Bay1 : 0
    2Casric StarsOrlando Pirates1 : 0
    3Pretoria U.Sekhukhune0 : 1
    4Milford FCMkhambathi3 : 0
    5TS GalaxyMamelodi Sundowns2 : 0
    6Jacksa SpearsVasco Da Gama1 : 0
    7Golden ArrowsStellenbosch1 : 0
    8Upington CityDurban City0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1AmaZuluCasric Stars
    2SekhukhuneMilford FC
    3TS GalaxyJacksa Spears
    4Golden ArrowsDurban City