Maroons vs UPDF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
14/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 21

Match Stats

Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
12
Corner kicks
46
Total shots
86
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
74
Corner kicks
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Maroons
47.4%
Draw
31.4%
UPDF
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 27% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 23.1% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maroons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maroons than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Maroons - UPDF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.75)
    2.87
    (3.4)
    4.28
    (4.45)
    10.6%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maroons won 3.
    • Maroons has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • UPDF is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Maroons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Maroons is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Maroons won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maroons won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maroons - UPDF were as follows:
    15.10.2025 UPDF - Maroons 1:2
    16.04.2025 UPDF - Maroons 2:1
    15.09.2024 Maroons - UPDF 1:1
    05.01.2024 Maroons - UPDF 4:2
    25.04.2023 Maroons - UPDF 1:0
    Latest results of Maroons
    04.03.2026 Express - Maroons 1:1
    19.02.2026 Villa - Maroons 2:0
    12.02.2026 Maroons - Kitara 0:1
    31.01.2026 Maroons - Mbarara City 1:1
    Latest results of UPDF
    11.03.2026 UPDF - Vipers 1:2
    06.03.2026 UPDF - Kitara 1:1
    03.03.2026 NEC FC - UPDF 1:0
    18.02.2026 Lugazi Municipal - UPDF 1:0
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers21155142:142850
    2Kitara21144334:132146
    3Kampala City21143434:171745
    4Villa21125431:112041
    5Entebbe UPPC21106518:13536
    6Police21105631:23835
    7NEC FC21810323:16734
    8BUL2186724:20430
    9Maroons2168717:15226
    10Express2158818:22-423
    11URA SC21410718:22-422
    12Lugazi21461115:30-1518
    13Mbarara City21371115:31-1616
    14Buhimba21431415:44-2915
    15UPDF21351314:29-1514
    16Calvary2105167:36-295

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League