Result
3:1
29/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 26
- Referee: Zaika M. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Russia | MATCH! Planeta, Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', Egorychev A. 🟨,
- 32', Sekulic M. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Timoshenko I. ⚽,
- 38', 2 - 0, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 3 - 0, Reyna Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Egorychev A. ↓, Musaev L. ↑,
- 59', Abdusalamov M. ↓, Bakaev S. ↑,
- 62', Akbashev R. 🟨,
- 67', Akbashev R. ↓, Morozov N. ↑,
- 67', Bogomolskiy E. ↓, Markov E. ↑,
- 69', Timoshenko I. ↓, Gharibyan A. ↑,
- 74', Meshchaninov A. 🟨,
- 75', Ivanisenia D. 🟨,
- 78', Reyna Y. 🟨,
- 81', Maksimenko A. ↓, Arce S. ↑,
- 81', Reyna Y. ↓, Cissoko K. ↑,
- 82', Kharin E. ↓, Malkevich V. ↑,
- 82', Sekulic M. ↓, Bondarev V. ↑,
- 88', 🟨,
- 90', Arce S. 🟨,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Morozov N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Rodina Moscow
41.7% | Draw
28.3% | Ural
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rodina Moscow that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Rodina Moscow - Ural Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(2.57) |
3.38 ↑
(2.99) |
3.19 ↑
(3.09) |
4.6%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rodina Moscow - Ural?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Rodina will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 2.
- Rodina is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ural has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ural may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Rodina could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rodina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Rodina Moscow won against Ural?
Rodina Moscow has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ural won against Rodina Moscow?
Ural has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rodina Moscow - Ural were as follows:
02.08.2025
Ural
-
Rodina Moscow
2:1
04.05.2025
Rodina Moscow
-
Ural
3:2
04.11.2024
Ural
-
Rodina Moscow
0:0
13.03.2024
Rodina Moscow
-
Ural
1:2
30.01.2023
Ural
-
Rodina Moscow
0:1
Latest results of Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 34:13 | 21 | 59 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 45:23 | 22 | 52 |
| 3 | Ural | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:31 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Yenisey | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 31:32 | -1 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 38:34 | 4 | 36 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | Torpedo Moscow | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | SKA Khabarovsk | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Ufa | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 26:63 | -37 | 19 |
| 18 | Saratov | 28 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 12:36 | -24 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
