Urawa Red Diamonds vs Albirex Niigata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata
Result
1:0
31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.82
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
19
Passes
89% (400/449)87% (393/452)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.120.79
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
19
Touches in opposition box
2427
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
109
Passes
89% (400/449)87% (393/452)
Long passes
61% (31/51)47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
85% (119/140)81% (120/149)
Crosses
42% (5/12)29% (7/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.531.46
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
911
Tackles
58% (7/12)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4934
Clearances
2019
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.791.12
Goals prevented
0.790.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Matheus Savio , Kaneko T. (A),
  • 42', Matheus Savio 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Gustafson S. , Matsumoto T. ,
  • 59', Nakajima S. , Matsuo Y. ,
  • 64', Moraes , Shimamura T. ,
  • 76', Horigome Y. , Hashimoto K. ,
  • 76', Ohara M. , Okumura J. ,
  • 76', Uemura H. , Taniguchi K. ,
  • 81', Yasui K. , Shibato K. ,
  • 81', Ogiwara T. , Naganuma Y. ,
  • 86', Hasegawa M. , Takagi Y. ,
  • 88', Kaneko T. , Sekine T. ,
  • 90+5', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Urawa Red Diamonds
54.2%
Draw
24.7%
Albirex Niigata
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 26.4% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 26% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.78)
    3.81
    (3.58)
    4.48
    (4.61)
    6.1%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata?
  • Users Predictions: Urawa Red Diamonds will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 88.32%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Urawa Red Diamonds will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 2.
    • Urawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Niigata is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Urawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Urawa has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Urawa is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes (Knee Injury) Hoshi Y. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:17. (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1
    08.12.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata 0:0
    11.05.2024 Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:4
    02.09.2023 Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1
    18.03.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata 2:1
    Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto28166652:302254
    2Kashiwa Reysol28158542:281453
    3Vissel Kobe29165837:261153
    4Kashima Antlers28164841:271452
    5Machida29155945:311450
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima29155934:201450
    7Urawa Reds28138739:30947
    8Kawasaki Frontale28129750:381245
    9Gamba Osaka291241338:44-640
    10Cerezo Osaka28109942:39339
    11Okayama281161126:28-239
    12Avispa Fukuoka28910928:28037
    13Shimizu S-Pulse28891131:36-533
    14Verdy28881216:28-1232
    15FC Tokyo28871330:42-1231
    16Nagoya Grampus28781334:42-829
    17Yokohama F. Marinos28671526:35-925
    18Shonan Bellmare28671526:47-2125
    19Yokohama FC28651718:35-1723
    20Albirex Niigata28481627:48-2120

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League