Albirex Niigata vs Urawa Red Diamonds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/05/2025 at 01:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata).

J1 League - Round 16
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.23	0.89
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
85% (496/582)	85% (425/502)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23	0.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.45	1.07
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked Shots
5	5
Shots inside the Box
6	5
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
16	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
8	9
Passes
85% (496/582)	85% (425/502)
Long passes
49% (30/61)	42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
75% (82/110)	73% (88/121)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.14	0.97
Throw-ins
21	18
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
67% (8/12)	65% (11/17)
Duels won
34	43
Clearances
26	19
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
1.07	1.45
Goals prevented
0.07	0.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Watanabe R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Kasai K. 🟨,
65', Watanabe R. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
65', Matheus Savio ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
65', Kaneko T. ↓, Okubo T. ↑,
65', Kasai K. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Hasegawa M. ⚽,
78', Danilo Gomes 🟨,
78', Naganuma Y. ↓, Ogiwara T. ↑,
78', Matsumoto T. ↓, Nagakura M. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Nagakura M. ⚽, Ishihara H. (A),
86', Danilo Gomes ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
86', Hashimoto K. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
86', Hoshi Y. ↓, Miyamoto E. ↑,
90', Miyamoto E. 🟨,
90+1', Hasegawa M. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Albirex Niigata
29.2%

Draw
29.8%

Urawa Red Diamonds
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

29.3%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

29.5%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.87)	3.14 ↓ (3.22)	2.3 ↓ (2.5)	6.4% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Urawa will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 0.
In recent matches, Niigata has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Urawa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Urawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Urawa has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Urawa: Nishikawa S. (Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 0.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.2:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Albirex Niigata has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Albirex Niigata?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds were as follows:

08.12.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata 0:0

11.05.2024 Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:4

02.09.2023 Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1

18.03.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata 2:1

Latest results of Albirex Niigata

03.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 2:3 ✺

29.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata 0:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Albirex Niigata - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺

13.04.2025 Albirex Niigata - Yokohama FC 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

06.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka 0:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo Verdy 2:0 ✺

25.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga 2:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	23	10	7	6	32:24	8	37
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	23	8	7	8	21:23	-2	31
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League