Result
1:1
11/05/2025 at 01:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | QQ Sports |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.23 | 0.89 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
85% (496/582) | 85% (425/502) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.23 | 0.89 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.45 | 1.07 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 2 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
85% (496/582) | 85% (425/502) |
Long passes |
---|
49% (30/61) | 42% (22/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
75% (82/110) | 73% (88/121) |
Crosses |
---|
13% (2/15) | 6% (1/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.14 | 0.97 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (8/12) | 65% (11/17) |
Duels won |
---|
34 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.07 | 1.45 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.07 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Watanabe R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Kasai K. 🟨,
- 65', Watanabe R. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
- 65', Matheus Savio ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
- 65', Kaneko T. ↓, Okubo T. ↑,
- 65', Kasai K. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 0, Hasegawa M. ⚽,
- 78', Danilo Gomes 🟨,
- 78', Naganuma Y. ↓, Ogiwara T. ↑,
- 78', Matsumoto T. ↓, Nagakura M. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Nagakura M. ⚽, Ishihara H. (A),
- 86', Danilo Gomes ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
- 86', Hashimoto K. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
- 86', Hoshi Y. ↓, Miyamoto E. ↑,
- 90', Miyamoto E. 🟨,
- 90+1', Hasegawa M. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Albirex Niigata 29.2% | Draw 29.8% | Urawa Red Diamonds 40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.21 ↑ (2.87) |
3.14 ↓ (3.22) |
2.3 ↓ (2.5) |
6.4% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Urawa will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 0.
- In recent matches, Niigata has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Urawa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Urawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Urawa has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Urawa: Nishikawa S.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.2:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Urawa Red Diamonds?
Albirex Niigata has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Albirex Niigata?
Urawa Red Diamonds has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds were as follows:
08.12.2024
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Albirex Niigata
0:0
11.05.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
2:4
02.09.2023
Albirex Niigata
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
1:1
18.03.2023
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Albirex Niigata
2:1
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League