Urawa Red Diamonds vs Albirex Niigata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata
Result
1:0
31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.82
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
19
Passes
89% (400/449)87% (393/452)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.120.79
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
19
Touches in opposition box
2427
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
109
Passes
89% (400/449)87% (393/452)
Long passes
61% (31/51)47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
85% (119/140)81% (120/149)
Crosses
42% (5/12)29% (7/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.531.46
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
911
Tackles
58% (7/12)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4934
Clearances
2019
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.791.12
Goals prevented
0.790.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Matheus Savio , Kaneko T. (A),
  • 42', Matheus Savio 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Gustafson S. , Matsumoto T. ,
  • 59', Nakajima S. , Matsuo Y. ,
  • 64', Moraes , Shimamura T. ,
  • 76', Horigome Y. , Hashimoto K. ,
  • 76', Ohara M. , Okumura J. ,
  • 76', Uemura H. , Taniguchi K. ,
  • 81', Yasui K. , Shibato K. ,
  • 81', Ogiwara T. , Naganuma Y. ,
  • 86', Hasegawa M. , Takagi Y. ,
  • 88', Kaneko T. , Sekine T. ,
  • 90+5', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Urawa Red Diamonds
54.2%
Draw
24.7%
Albirex Niigata
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 26.4% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 26% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.78)
    3.81
    (3.58)
    4.48
    (4.61)
    6.1%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata?
  • Users Predictions: Urawa Red Diamonds will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 88.32%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Urawa Red Diamonds will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 2.
    • Urawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Niigata is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Urawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Urawa has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Urawa is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes (Knee Injury) Hoshi Y. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:17. (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1
    08.12.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata 0:0
    11.05.2024 Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:4
    02.09.2023 Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1
    18.03.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata 2:1
    Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers32204852:282464
    2Vissel Kobe32186843:271660
    3Kyoto32178756:342259
    4Kashiwa Reysol321512547:331457
    5Machida32167948:331555
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima32167937:221555
    7Kawasaki Frontale321410859:441552
    8Urawa Reds321310939:32749
    9Gamba Osaka321541346:47-149
    10Cerezo Osaka3211101149:47243
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3210101234:38-440
    12Okayama321171428:34-640
    13FC Tokyo321171435:45-1040
    14Avispa Fukuoka329101331:37-637
    15Nagoya Grampus32991438:47-936
    16Verdy32991420:35-1536
    17Yokohama F. Marinos32871732:43-1131
    18Yokohama FC32871721:36-1531
    19Shonan Bellmare32671928:56-2825
    20Albirex Niigata32491929:54-2521

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League