Result
1:0
31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (400/449) | 87% (393/452) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (400/449) | 87% (393/452) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (31/51) | 47% (21/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (119/140) | 81% (120/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Matheus Savio ⚽, Kaneko T. (A),
- 42', Matheus Savio 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Gustafson S. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
- 59', Nakajima S. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
- 64', Moraes ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
- 76', Horigome Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
- 76', Ohara M. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
- 76', Uemura H. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
- 81', Yasui K. ↓, Shibato K. ↑,
- 81', Ogiwara T. ↓, Naganuma Y. ↑,
- 86', Hasegawa M. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
- 88', Kaneko T. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
- 90+5', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Urawa Red Diamonds
54.2% | Draw
24.7% | Albirex Niigata
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.78) |
3.81 ↑
(3.58) |
4.48 ↓
(4.61) |
6.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Niigata (1.87) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Urawa (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Urawa (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Urawa Red Diamonds will win
(24 of 25 users predict this - 96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.32% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Urawa Red Diamonds will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Urawa (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Niigata (votes: 2 - 15.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 2.
- Urawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Niigata is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Urawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Urawa has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Urawa is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Hoshi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:17. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Albirex Niigata?
Urawa Red Diamonds has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Urawa Red Diamonds?
Albirex Niigata has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
11.05.2025
Albirex Niigata
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
1:1
08.12.2024
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Albirex Niigata
0:0
11.05.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
2:4
02.09.2023
Albirex Niigata
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
1:1
18.03.2023
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Albirex Niigata
2:1
Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Machida | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Urawa Reds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Verdy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Mito | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiba | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Okayama | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 3 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
