Result
1:0
31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.95 | 1.82 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
89% (400/449) | 87% (393/452) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.95 | 1.82 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.12 | 0.79 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 27 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
89% (400/449) | 87% (393/452) |
Long passes |
---|
61% (31/51) | 47% (21/45) |
Passes in final third |
---|
85% (119/140) | 81% (120/149) |
Crosses |
---|
42% (5/12) | 29% (7/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.53 | 1.46 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
58% (7/12) | 71% (10/14) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 34 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
2 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.79 | 1.12 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.79 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Matheus Savio ⚽, Kaneko T. (A),
- 42', Matheus Savio 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Gustafson S. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
- 59', Nakajima S. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
- 64', Moraes ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
- 76', Horigome Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
- 76', Ohara M. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
- 76', Uemura H. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
- 81', Yasui K. ↓, Shibato K. ↑,
- 81', Ogiwara T. ↓, Naganuma Y. ↑,
- 86', Hasegawa M. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
- 88', Kaneko T. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
- 90+5', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Urawa Red Diamonds 54.2% | Draw 24.7% | Albirex Niigata 21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 ↓ (1.78) |
3.81 ↑ (3.58) |
4.48 ↓ (4.61) |
6.1% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata?
Users Predictions:
Urawa Red Diamonds will win
(24 of 25 users predict this - 96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.32% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Urawa Red Diamonds will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 2.
- Urawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Niigata is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Urawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Urawa has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Urawa is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Hoshi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:17. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Albirex Niigata?
Urawa Red Diamonds has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Urawa Red Diamonds?
Albirex Niigata has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
11.05.2025
Albirex Niigata
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
1:1
08.12.2024
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Albirex Niigata
0:0
11.05.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
2:4
02.09.2023
Albirex Niigata
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
1:1
18.03.2023
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Albirex Niigata
2:1
Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kyoto | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:30 | 22 | 54 |
2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 53 |
3 | Vissel Kobe | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 53 |
4 | Kashima Antlers | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 52 |
5 | Machida | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 50 |
6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 34:20 | 14 | 50 |
7 | Urawa Reds | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 39:30 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 50:38 | 12 | 45 |
9 | Gamba Osaka | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 40 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | 3 | 39 |
11 | Okayama | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 39 |
12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 37 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
14 | Verdy | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 32 |
15 | FC Tokyo | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 31 |
16 | Nagoya Grampus | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 29 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:35 | -9 | 25 |
18 | Shonan Bellmare | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:47 | -21 | 25 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 23 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27:48 | -21 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League