CD Guadalajara vs Ursaria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 CD Guadalajara - Ursaria
Result
1:0
11/02/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 22

Chances of winning


CD Guadalajara
52%
Draw
26.7%
Ursaria
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 26.4% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 21.3% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CD Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ursaria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • CD Guadalajara - Ursaria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.82)
    3.44
    (3.4)
    4.28
    (3.71)
    9.5%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).
    • Guadalajara is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ursaria has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Ursaria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Guadalajara is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CD Guadalajara - Ursaria were as follows:
    01.10.2023 Ursaria - CD Guadalajara 3:2
    Latest results of CD Guadalajara
    Latest results of Ursaria
    04.02.2024 Ursaria - Unión Adarve 0:1
    21.01.2024 Ursaria - Mensajero 2:2
    14.01.2024 Getafe B - Ursaria 1:0
    07.01.2024 Villanovense - Ursaria 3:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2