Illescas vs Ursaria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Illescas - Ursaria
Result
1:2
14/04/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Mingo ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Alcalde J. ,
  • 42', 1 - 2, Perez F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Illescas
40.2%
Draw
32.4%
Ursaria
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 30.2% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9% 31.5% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illescas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Illescas - Ursaria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.03)
    2.83
    (3.03)
    3.35
    (3.68)
    8.6%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12).
    • Illescas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Ursaria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Illescas will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Illescas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Illescas - Ursaria were as follows:
    03.12.2023 Ursaria - Illescas 0:1
    Latest results of Illescas
    07.04.2024 San Fernando - Illescas 2:2
    31.03.2024 Illescas - CD Guadalajara 1:2
    24.03.2024 Unión Adarve - Illescas 2:0
    10.03.2024 Mensajero - Illescas 1:0
    Latest results of Ursaria
    07.04.2024 Ursaria - Atlético Paso 0:1
    31.03.2024 Llerenense - Ursaria 0:2
    24.03.2024 Ursaria - Montijo 4:1
    10.03.2024 Ursaria - Cacereño 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2