Llerenense vs Ursaria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Llerenense - Ursaria
Result
0:2
31/03/2024 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Alcalde J. ,
  • 35', Jose K. 🟥,
  • 45', Sanchez V. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 76', 0 - 2, Perez F. ,

Chances of winning


Llerenense
35.2%
Draw
32.3%
Ursaria
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 29.5% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 29.2% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llerenense's form might have worsened.
  • Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ursaria's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+18.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llerenense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ursaria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Llerenense - Ursaria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (1.68)
    2.83
    (3.05)
    2.83
    (5.27)
    9.1%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).
    • Llerenense is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Ursaria is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Llerenense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Llerenense - Ursaria were as follows:
    19.11.2023 Ursaria - Llerenense 0:0
    Latest results of Llerenense
    Latest results of Ursaria
    24.03.2024 Ursaria - Montijo 4:1
    10.03.2024 Ursaria - Cacereño 1:0
    25.02.2024 Ursaria - Badajoz 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2