Llerenense vs Ursaria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
31/03/2024 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Alcalde J. ,
  • 35', Jose K. 🟥,
  • 45', Sanchez V. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 76', 0 - 2, Perez F. ,

Chances of winning


Llerenense
35.2%
Draw
32.3%
Ursaria
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 29.5% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 29.2% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llerenense's form might have worsened.
  • Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ursaria's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+18.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llerenense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ursaria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Llerenense - Ursaria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (1.68)
    2.83
    (3.05)
    2.83
    (5.27)
    9.1%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).
    • Llerenense is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Ursaria is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Llerenense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Llerenense - Ursaria were as follows:
    19.11.2023 Ursaria - Llerenense 0:0
    Latest results of Llerenense
    Latest results of Ursaria
    24.03.2024 Ursaria - Montijo 4:1
    10.03.2024 Ursaria - Cacereño 1:0
    25.02.2024 Ursaria - Badajoz 1:0
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rayo Majadahonda24157237:142352
    2San Sebastian Reyes24154535:191649
    3Conquense241010427:22540
    4Getafe B23116638:261239
    5Orihuela25108735:27838
    6CD Coria24107730:23737
    7Tenerife B23114837:34337
    8CF Intercity2598836:34235
    9Las Palmas B2396832:27533
    10Ilicitano24710738:37131
    11Navalcarnero2479828:32-430
    12RSD Alcala2478926:31-529
    13Fuenlabrada25771127:30-328
    14Rayo Vallecano B24821425:39-1426
    15Colonia M24661226:44-1824
    16Real Madrid C24561327:37-1021
    17Quintanar del Rey24551422:31-920
    18Socuellamos24471320:39-1919

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation