Navalcarnero vs Ursaria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Navalcarnero - Ursaria
Result
2:1
28/04/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 33

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Perez F. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 82', 1 - 1, Gutierrez A. (Pen),
  • 84', 2 - 1, Rivas M. ,
  • 90+4', Lopez A. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Navalcarnero
39.3%
Draw
31.6%
Ursaria
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 31.2% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 29.7% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Navalcarnero's form might have worsened.
  • Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ursaria's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navalcarnero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ursaria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Navalcarnero - Ursaria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (1.94)
    2.92
    (2.93)
    3.16
    (4.19)
    8.7%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 12).
    • Navalcarnero is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Ursaria is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Navalcarnero will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Navalcarnero - Ursaria were as follows:
    17.12.2023 Ursaria - Navalcarnero 1:0
    Latest results of Navalcarnero
    Latest results of Ursaria
    21.04.2024 Ursaria - Numancia 0:1
    14.04.2024 Illescas - Ursaria 1:2
    07.04.2024 Ursaria - Atlético Paso 0:1
    31.03.2024 Llerenense - Ursaria 0:2
    24.03.2024 Ursaria - Montijo 4:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2