Result
2:1
28/04/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 33
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Perez F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 82', 1 - 1, Gutierrez A. (Pen),
- 84', 2 - 1, Rivas M. ⚽,
- 90+4', Lopez A. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Navalcarnero 39.3% | Draw 31.6% | Ursaria 29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Navalcarnero's form might have worsened.Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ursaria's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navalcarnero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ursaria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Navalcarnero - Ursaria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.34 ↑ (1.94) |
2.92 ↓ (2.93) |
3.16 ↓ (4.19) |
8.7% (9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 12).
- Navalcarnero is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Ursaria is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Navalcarnero will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Navalcarnero won against Ursaria?
Navalcarnero has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ursaria won against Navalcarnero?
Ursaria has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Navalcarnero - Ursaria were as follows:
17.12.2023
Ursaria
-
Navalcarnero
1:0
Latest results of Navalcarnero
Latest results of Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rayo Majadahonda | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 42:19 | 23 | 57 |
| 2 | San Sebastian Reyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 42:22 | 20 | 57 |
| 3 | Getafe B | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 47:30 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Conquense | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 36:23 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 37:28 | 9 | 44 |
| 6 | Tenerife B | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 44 |
| 7 | Orihuela | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 8 | RSD Alcala | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Palmas B | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 38:37 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | CF Intercity | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 36 |
| 11 | Navalcarnero | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Fuenlabrada | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 30:35 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Ilicitano | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 43:46 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Real Madrid C | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 34:40 | -6 | 30 |
| 15 | Colonia M | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33:52 | -19 | 27 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano B | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 26:48 | -22 | 27 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29:39 | -10 | 26 |
| 18 | Socuellamos | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26:44 | -18 | 26 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation